Serie A · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d99f10ede87ac15704498c79ce407f4bf1a4a7b38a055cae1063ca32fa6935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 32c | 225,404$72,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,058.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 72c | 62,752$45,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,331.11 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 68c | 62,500$42,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 68c | 60,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 68c | 8,877$6,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.56 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 68c | 8,100$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 68c | 4,617$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.53 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 26c | 3,342$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.11 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Yes | 70c | 3,222$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 77c | 3,010$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,015$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.9 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 45c | 2,010$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.5 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yes | 69c | 1,790$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,761$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 78c | 1,583$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 32c | 1,470$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.37 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 70c | 1,427$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.05 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 1,163$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.34 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 69c | 1,025$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 70c | 934.69$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.69 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 863$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 71c | 838.26$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 50c | 800.93$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.52 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 54c | 616.67$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.84 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 51c | 599.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 31c | 500$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Yes | 57c | 499.24$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 392$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 69c | 380$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 31c | 370$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 70c | 368.57$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Yes | 69c | 340$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 319.8$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 39c | 305.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 60c | 270.35$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Yes | 76c | 256.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 74c | 230$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 9c | 216.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 70c | 214.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…f5a9backed Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 69c | 193.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 29c | 192$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 64c | 190.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 69c | 190.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 67c | 180.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 30c | 169.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…1b63backed Yes | 69c | 169.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 69c | 162.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 23c | 159$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 34c | 158.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f9…f053backed Yes | 62c | 154.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…d969backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 71c | 128.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 13c | 115.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 68c | 115$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 69c | 111.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…29c7backed Yes | 71c | 111.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…e221backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…e49cbacked Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 59c | 96.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 44c | 90.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…1bd5backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…5144backed Yes | 69c | 81.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…39f5backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 29c | 73.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes | 69c | 72.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 67c | 71.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked No | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…5e7abacked Yes | 67c | 64.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 49c | 56.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 74c | 52.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Cagliari win on 2025-08-30?No won
- Will Napoli vs. Cagliari end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.