WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs. Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdeb69e6e817b33e2361891a74c31a9f219578a9c0fc7962735912bdf870dc96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Lynx, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lynx | 72c | 15,367$11,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Lynx | 73c | 14,298$10,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.24 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Valkyries | 32c | 8,773$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Valkyries | 27c | 5,562$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 28c | 5,050$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Valkyries | 28c | 3,223$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Lynx | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lynx | 51c | 2,602$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Valkyries | 28c | 2,057$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.1 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Lynx | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valkyries | 31c | 1,964$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.19 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Valkyries | 30c | 1,873$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Valkyries | 47c | 1,798$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.27 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lynx | 73c | 1,720$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.69 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lynx | 70c | 1,644$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Valkyries | 29c | 1,366$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Valkyries | 27c | 1,281$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.94 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Valkyries | 32c | 1,151$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 24c | 1,136$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Valkyries | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Lynx | 53c | 987.69$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Valkyries | 27c | 895.23$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.73 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Valkyries | 28c | 879.89$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.78 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Valkyries | 28c | 708.6$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Lynx | 68c | 662.36$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Lynx | 67c | 634.4$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Valkyries | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Valkyries | 23c | 571.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Lynx | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Valkyries | 27c | 493.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 26c | 428.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Valkyries | 53c | 400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Lynx | 72c | 399.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Valkyries | 29c | 384.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Valkyries | 31c | 320.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Lynx | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Lynx | 59c | 253.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries | 20c | 243.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 321 | 48%154 W · 167 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lynx | 70c | 219.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lynx | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Valkyries | 24c | 183.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Valkyries | 29c | 174.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lynx | 56c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Lynx | 66c | 136.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Valkyries | 51c | 134.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Valkyries | 42c | 115.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Lynx | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Lynx | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Valkyries | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…0d6dbacked Lynx | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4e87backed Lynx | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lynx | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Valkyries | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Lynx | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Valkyries | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Lynx | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Valkyries | 40c | 40.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Lynx | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Lynx | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Lynx | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…d9efbacked Lynx | 71c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 51cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Lynx | 70c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.