NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fc8174da49bb05d09e7ebb62f32393ef083f0197bf1e6e0189ec9a71ba8e3e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Raptors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,486,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,470,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,486,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 734 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Mavericks | 50c | 423,911$211,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,668.85 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Raptors | 50c | 171,955$86,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,811.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Raptors | 50c | 170,338$85,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,458.56 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 50c | 94,565$46,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,683.48 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…a199backed Mavericks | 50c | 90,276$45,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,137.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 51c | 68,182$34,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,772.61 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 50c | 59,333$29,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,463.22 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors | 50c | 53,024$26,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,311.96 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Raptors | 50c | 50,914$25,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,455.65 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Mavericks | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Raptors | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raptors | 33c | 49,097$16,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,192.95 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Raptors | 51c | 35,010$17,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,855.1 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raptors | 45c | 33,455$15,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,091.04 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Mavericks | 51c | 31,730$16,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,547.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Raptors | 43c | 27,567$11,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,929.96 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors | 50c | 22,399$11,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,300.17 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 4c | 20,562$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.88 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Raptors | 54c | 20,304$11,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,015.18 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Raptors | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Mavericks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks | 50c | 19,843$9,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,009.48 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…aec3backed Raptors | 42c | 13,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5994…5c8bbacked Mavericks | 58c | 13,000$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Mavericks | 39c | 11,714$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,109.84 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Raptors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…0c70backed Raptors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35db…f0b9backed Mavericks | 52c | 8,781$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…a22bbacked Raptors | 48c | 8,775$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 3c | 8,700$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 35c | 8,328$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Raptors | 50c | 8,034$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.06 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 50c | 7,700$3,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Mavericks | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Mavericks | 54c | 7,001$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Raptors | 50c | 6,267$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.47 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Raptors | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.9 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Mavericks | 54c | 5,895$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Mavericks | 71c | 5,634$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Raptors | 48c | 5,080$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks | 55c | 4,960$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.35 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,885$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.02 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mavericks | 47c | 4,702$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.05 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Raptors | 50c | 4,535$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.51 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,067$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.3 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Raptors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.95 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Raptors | 51c | 3,865$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.17 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Raptors | 50c | 3,426$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,336$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.07 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks | 40c | 3,078$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.61 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raptors | 50c | 3,047$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.21 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,999$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.9 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 5c | 2,604$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…8d08backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,130$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…23c5backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,120$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.78 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…66ddbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,088$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…0f7bbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,078$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,990$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.9 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raptors | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Raptors | 8c | 1,742$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…28e6backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d5…880abacked Raptors | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3f…ca5abacked Raptors | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…35e8backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd50…84adbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6b…869dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors | 2c | 1,550$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Mavericks | 76c | 1,520$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.22 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,379$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors | 3c | 1,336$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,304$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.91 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…eb0dbacked Raptors | 18c | 1,290$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Raptors | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,079$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.57 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 58c | 1,035$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…d326backed Raptors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Raptors | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Raptors | 50c | 970$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 50c | 901.94$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.97 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 49c | 899.21$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.61 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 57c | 886.06$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Raptors | 50c | 855.67$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.1 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Raptors | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Mavericksthis page
- Raptors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.