Lol · resolved market
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e32223c8b32e8822f381e2edbdf4f6ffbecf11ed7b16d6650aa3459decc4e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of 100 Thieves, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 30,732$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.05 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 22,198$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.62 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 20,788$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.09 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 10,325$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 10,163$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.6 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 8,707$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 7,261$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6720…177cbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 7,249$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 6,248$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.21 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…8cadbacked T1 | 79c | 4,576$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 4,064$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.25 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 4,001$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.39 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 3,919$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.66 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 3,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 3,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…ba08backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 3,133$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…e979backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 3,066$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 2,760$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed 100 Thieves | 3c | 2,545$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 2,141$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.95 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 1,932$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 1,679$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.81 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…08e3backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 1,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 1,477$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.77 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 1,423$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.29 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 1,255$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 1,138$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…9f2abacked T1 | 80c | 1,130$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f09ebacked 100 Thieves | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9d…0991backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 938.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves | 2c | 900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 813.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b7…1a2fbacked 100 Thieves | 7c | 666.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 630.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253c…a3c2backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…59e8backed 100 Thieves | 5c | 599.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7b6fbacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed T1 | 78c | 563.05$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed 100 Thieves | 3c | 562.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…daa4backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 527.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…e08bbacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 493.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 417$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 320.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 337 | 48.4%163 W · 174 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…97fcbacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 284.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 254.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…8213backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 232.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 231.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 229.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…5e2abacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…0f99backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 208.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…43dabacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 201$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…85adbacked T1 | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb942…890bbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…9b63backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 197.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 189.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 173.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…b299backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 152.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…01a4backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…bc36backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399a…ba5fbacked T1 | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…34d4backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…30aabacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 120.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…7a37backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…587ebacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d68…49e2backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 111.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…a62cbacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 101.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked T1 | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…c7a2backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…787ebacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…f3c5backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…e8b2backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…e225backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ca…73a1backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…2e12backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed T1 | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…5234backed T1 | 80c | 29.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…d928backed T1 | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…4b51backed T1 | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…b467backed T1 | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)T1 won
- LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.