TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Fever vs. Sparks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Feverof Fever, Sparks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2f8…56b6backed Sparks53c8,163$4,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,338.13652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Fever43c4,562$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.121936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fever46c4,225$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.057162%44 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Fever49c3,166$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.161942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked Fever72c2,648$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.36988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+116.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Sparks53c2,600$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.983458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Sparks45c2,091$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.981566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Fever42c1,954$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.737440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ca…faa7backed Sparks58c1,805$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Sparks53c1,520$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.467855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Sparks55c1,187$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6538633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Sparks46c1,131$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.191931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Sparks58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5806640.9%27 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Sparks55c804.99$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.86546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fever44c744.43$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.449055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41f…e827backed Sparks66c730.25$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.53580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Fever43c647.91$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.315221.2%11 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Fever45c619$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.913044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Fever30c585.68$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+77.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Fever43c578.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.18825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Fever51c577.1$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.365154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Fever42c555$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3231145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Sparks56c535.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Sparks53c515$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5284…4e87backed Fever62c471.8$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sparks58c441.12$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8511545.2%52 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Fever46c419.52$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.546631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sparks55c390$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.521440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Sparks63c367.19$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Fever46c351.33$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Sparks49c304$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Fever45c299.96$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.984942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Fever38c272.95$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.234443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Fever37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Fever38c261.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.282623.1%6 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-49.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Sparks70c258.13$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Fever49c240.23$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.793748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Sparks58c215.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Sparks63c214.85$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.511668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever48c208.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6427232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever48c208.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3423431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sparks53c201$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.534858.3%28 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fever47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10621337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Sparks55c190.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.663246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2174…85f4backed Fever54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+59%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Sparks65c184.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206460.9%39 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x800e…d9bdbacked Sparks55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Sparks57c177.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Sparks15c176$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.24624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sparks57c175.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Sparks53c140$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.811552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Sparks53c133$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.497240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Fever44c125.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.157753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Fever53c119.93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.376651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Fever34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sparks66c110$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.067542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Fever37c109$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.262050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c79…15dbbacked Fever38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Fever28c104.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Fever37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634030%12 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Fever45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Fever48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+45.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Fever46c94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.768548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Sparks64c83.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.973754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Fever44c83.17$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.572330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Fever36c69.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-69.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52e0…f941backed Fever45c56.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf60…8ebcbacked Fever46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce3…79c7backed Fever38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…2d4dbacked Fever41c52.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+112.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Sparks68c51.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…3668backed Fever51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.98366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Sparks54c49.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.971560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3c…767fbacked Sparks54c49.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5c…7d69backed Fever47c49.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Fever43c46.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7914136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Fever44c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.763633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Sparks60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Sparks52c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.326560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Sparks67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked Fever53c37.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Sparks41c35.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.654250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Fever53c35.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.793961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd036…ec4bbacked Sparks57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Fever44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Fever43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Fever44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Fever40c31.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.891442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71c…3b29backed Sparks63c31.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Fever43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.212548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Sparks66c27.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.121163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a6…6fa0backed Fever46c26.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Sparks54c20.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.194050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sparks66c17.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5131847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.