WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d25b9bee13885150eebab7e5927ed5985108edddd895ae0a115b566b721aaa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Dream, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb7e…0be4backed Aces | 54c | 2,331$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Dream | 48c | 2,285$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Aces | 55c | 2,250$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.59 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Aces | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…1a4cbacked Dream | 46c | 2,163$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…a661backed Dream | 46c | 2,130$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dream | 45c | 2,027$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…84bcbacked Aces | 54c | 1,963$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Dream | 53c | 1,629$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.65 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Aces | 54c | 1,484$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.79 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dream | 57c | 1,120$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Aces | 49c | 1,057$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dream | 45c | 1,044$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.67 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…0ee8backed Aces | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dream | 46c | 986.67$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.87 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dream | 56c | 945$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.23 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…3a18backed Aces | 55c | 942$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Aces | 48c | 839.48$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.52 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dream | 64c | 781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…eb54backed Dream | 45c | 667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Aces | 55c | 665.92$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.64 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Aces | 57c | 561.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8591…9abebacked Dream | 45c | 556$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Aces | 44c | 523.16$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.29 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Dream | 35c | 513.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Dream | 52c | 496.67$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dream | 43c | 441.68$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…e314backed Dream | 45c | 386$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dream | 53c | 384.21$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Aces | 41c | 374.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…9096backed Dream | 45c | 351$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Aces | 57c | 346.07$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Dream | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Aces | 54c | 288$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aces | 47c | 279$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…894abacked Dream | 51c | 251$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…bee1backed Dream | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Dream | 46c | 219.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Aces | 55c | 207.04$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dream | 46c | 204.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dream | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Aces | 34c | 196.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Dream | 71c | 193.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Aces | 54c | 184.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Dream | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Aces | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Dream | 45c | 179.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Aces | 59c | 167.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…0a2abacked Aces | 49c | 151$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Aces | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Aces | 74c | 146.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Aces | 33c | 138.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Aces | 57c | 126.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Dream | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Aces | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Dream | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…dfd8backed Aces | 59c | 79.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…14babacked Dream | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aces | 41c | 71.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Aces | 56c | 64.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Aces | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dream | 45c | 52.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…24f0backed Dream | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Aces | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…d9efbacked Aces | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 51cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Aces | 39c | 46.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Dream | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…2edabacked Aces | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Dream | 45c | 39.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Dream | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Dream | 55c | 31.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…8c54backed Aces | 55c | 29.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Dream | 45c | 27.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Aces | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Aces | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Aces | 51c | 23.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Dream | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Dream | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.