Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345bfbb314e54b0e20a027dc087df0db51f511739bbbf5dbb06c330831d4a134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 47c | 8,010$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.7 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 10c | 1,914$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 44c | 1,566$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.72 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 46c | 1,550$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,208$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.84 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 1,153$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.29 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 1,059$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.14 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 9c | 1,058$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 47c | 703.52$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 59c | 646.66$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 31c | 349.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 41c | 197.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…24babacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 45c | 49.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 42c | 46.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…d97ebacked Yes | 49c | 30.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 69c | 25.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.