TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Dream vs Valkyries

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dreamof Dream, Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,706 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Dream63c13,123$8,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,860.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries37c5,333$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.923931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Valkyries42c4,556$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.477327.4%20 W · 53 L-10.3wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Valkyries34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+78.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Dream57c2,947$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.948551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Valkyries32c2,889$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.727440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Dream65c2,702$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Valkyries34c2,575$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.0721440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Dream63c2,337$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Dream62c2,055$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.761361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Valkyries38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7605259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Dream63c1,540$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.73961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dream62c1,524$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.312463.7%79 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Valkyries39c1,381$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.251942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Valkyries38c947.24$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.954630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Dream62c894.37$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.263246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valkyries36c887.1$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.387542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Valkyries34c650$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.315246.7%71 W · 81 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Valkyries35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005221.2%11 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Valkyries46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Valkyries36c508.22$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.966546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Valkyries38c501.22$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.246651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Dream66c468.97$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.998633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Valkyries37c461.46$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries38c423.44$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4612840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Valkyries36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Valkyries19c377.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Dream55c361.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5523234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Valkyries36c350.14$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.695154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Dream66c350$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1193458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Valkyries39c334.86$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0410…6556backed Valkyries46c326.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Dream64c316.41$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries36c302.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.831847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028839.8%35 W · 53 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c40…ea3dbacked Valkyries37c266.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Valkyries19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Dream59c249.52$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.82634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries41c242.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Dream63c238.22$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.36977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Valkyries33c187.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.837851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Valkyries34c185$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.722050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe435…0bb1backed Valkyries47c169.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Valkyries33c150$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Valkyries37c137.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9510039%39 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Dream75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332568%17 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Dream67c127.84$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dream61c115.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.17162%44 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Valkyries38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Dream63c101.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Dream70c101.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.43875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dream62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3820642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Dream49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Dream65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Dream65c97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.158548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Valkyries33c91.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b3f…4ceabacked Dream66c89.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48dc…8c54backed Dream65c82.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Dream63c79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2311552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Dream64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Dream67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Dream68c73.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.746460.9%39 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Dream59c73.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Valkyries34c64.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.19839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a9d…9de8backed Valkyries36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e19…ab82backed Valkyries36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Valkyries37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-69.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Valkyries41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205234.6%18 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Valkyries37c48.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb239…fe10backed Valkyries40c48.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Valkyries37c47.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.594042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries31c47.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6319142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Dream55c46.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x769a…b4f1backed Dream66c41.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Dream57c39.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.834030%12 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Dream58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Valkyries35c33.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Dream65c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…e199backed Dream66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xded7…1ef1backed Valkyries38c29.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.241764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Valkyries38c27.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Dream53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.