TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb230…4193backed No58c16,486$9,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,958.129459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes42c12,053$5,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,062.321346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Yes43c6,257$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+2,153.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No56c3,075$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.165054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No56c2,317$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.537139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No57c1,454$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.016860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No46c1,299$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.431957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes43c1,279$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No56c1,194$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.163444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes44c1,106$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.862835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes43c1,101$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes24c967.51$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.145961%36 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…1208backed Yes68c880.07$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c838.68$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.9135054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c828$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No46c715.58$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0711736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes44c645.45$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2846426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d0f…933abacked Yes45c602.8$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.881060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…7c00backed Yes70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc829…1b74backed No59c533.9$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…6546backed Yes73c506.85$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No55c499.95$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9825551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No55c499.93$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.977953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes45c443.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No55c442$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes38c411.24$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.793,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.43135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked No30c355.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2908…12c7backed Yes44c352.27$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No57c346.5$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.647762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes57c334$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5617744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No57c247.72$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes43c236$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe435…0bb1backed Yes45c226.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes44c225.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x114d…4c92backed Yes45c222.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+53.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c5d…0774backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Yes43c207.39$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c2…4beabacked Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked No58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No58c191.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes45c181.42$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.642454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes43c174.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No56c168.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8922448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No56c159.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.394235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No29c149.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1075028%14 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes44c145.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.811330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9b…2227backed Yes43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbfc…c2abbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e25…96d6backed Yes42c134.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes44c103.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.93360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0de3…8383backed Yes45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No58c83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.864465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Yes43c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.68520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+53.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7315851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes42c72.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No57c64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes44c61.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98cc…7470backed Yes43c58.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.35580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff8…2653backed Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4420…23c9backed Yes76c53.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.531050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48dc…8c54backed Yes73c52.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed No58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d99…24f0backed Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+105.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa896…e5c1backed Yes72c48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6c…29b6backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32a2…1e8abacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes41c42.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.299445.7%43 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes71c41.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3111149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.450%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4db0…e467backed Yes43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Yes70c31.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick75cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf286…9111backed Yes45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a7…3e01backed Yes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fb…2b2abacked Yes70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.189560%57 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No58c22.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.421435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.16753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.