La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f5983d6f62274a981e577d23e81fff959ef443e96cb652b4468d9d9270db4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0254…34b3backed No | 73c | 39,356$28,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,669.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 27c | 10,500$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 27c | 10,262$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.69 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 27c | 8,527$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 27c | 4,122$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.73 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 29c | 1,600$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,203$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.81 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 28c | 948.31$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 884.4$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.28 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked No | 72c | 689.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 70c | 500.34$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 296.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 30c | 222.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 218.51$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Yes | 30c | 181.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…96d6backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…14babacked Yes | 17c | 160.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 30c | 154.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 71c | 139.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 73c | 126$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 115.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 27c | 110.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 71c | 92.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…ad83backed Yes | 29c | 51.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…0f46backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…a1bbbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…e4f4backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…3852backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-18?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. Real Betis end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.