La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF vs. Real Betis end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a09c3b4778157ce68be0ad26509b1cdbb1f4ff5215ead277ff9f72f8eea564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc80…eb42backed Yes | 29c | 5,002$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…97abbacked No | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…124dbacked No | 71c | 2,182$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 20c | 1,308$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.33 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 79c | 1,081$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 70c | 499.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 80c | 362.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 315.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 290.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 30c | 276.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…a833backed Yes | 49c | 102.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Yes | 75c | 66.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…80a4backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed No | 71c | 49.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…03a8backed Yes | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 40.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed No | 79c | 27.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF vs. Real Betis end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-18?No won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.