Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b96323e7a6367554c13aa2907c5daf5393e6066cbc76842f0d9b1588f8f86ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 62c | 5,500$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.99 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 38c | 4,166$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.56 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 54c | 3,722$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 45c | 2,888$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.27 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 2,815$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.72 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 46c | 2,155$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…cb54backed Yes | 48c | 1,086$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 38c | 1,036$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.21 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 63c | 860$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.04 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 31c | 844$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.54 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed No | 40c | 696$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 56c | 661.57$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 47c | 626.46$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.85 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed Yes | 57c | 526.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 489.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.11 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 38c | 426.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.14 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 392$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 40c | 338.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 49c | 331.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 45c | 270$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 38c | 263.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 65c | 248.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 44c | 228.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…2e10backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 57c | 211$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…6ff8backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 40c | 161.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d99…9666backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 38c | 147$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 56c | 124$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 34c | 121.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…8771backed Yes | 65c | 112.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 57c | 109.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…24f0backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 57c | 101.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +77%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 34c | 97.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 63c | 94.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…f1fbbacked Yes | 76c | 91.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed No | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 56c | 81.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 39c | 76.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b6…326bbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…555fbacked Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…4d23backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…37dfbacked Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf5…76d4backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…f34cbacked Yes | 44c | 46.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked No | 37c | 44.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 63c | 44.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 56c | 44.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 56c | 43.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…9de1backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…7973backed Yes | 75c | 36.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…adb8backed No | 38c | 31.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 62c | 30.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…751ebacked Yes | 74c | 29.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yes | 75c | 28.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 48c | 27.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…fa31backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…f9e9backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-08-23?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.