WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a56908c14edca06ced16dc96b52e2cea2ac8735accd8dea18c00f23cc9970d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Fever | 22c | 3,165$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.67 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Fever | 71c | 2,194$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sun | 70c | 2,076$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.74 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 29c | 2,053$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.28 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 33c | 1,214$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.85 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Fever | 47c | 1,074$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Sun | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sun | 32c | 616.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Sun | 61c | 579$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fever | 46c | 521.73$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.39 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Fever | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Sun | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Fever | 29c | 478.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Fever | 68c | 453.49$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Fever | 29c | 420.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.61 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever | 67c | 397.83$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.28 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever | 35c | 366.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.01 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Fever | 74c | 338.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sun | 28c | 322.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 32c | 312.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Fever | 49c | 309.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sun | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Fever | 54c | 297.32$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Fever | 73c | 259.66$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Sun | 65c | 255.09$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Fever | 71c | 249.95$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sun | 39c | 245.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Fever | 71c | 218.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Fever | 30c | 210$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fever | 70c | 206$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Sun | 60c | 160.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Sun | 67c | 149.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Sun | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fever | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Sun | 64c | 119.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Sun | 28c | 101.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sun | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Fever | 27c | 97.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Sun | 29c | 93.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Fever | 46c | 89.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Fever | 14c | 85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +247.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Fever | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sun | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…3bcbbacked Fever | 73c | 68.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0e…b61cbacked Fever | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Fever | 42c | 63.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sun | 45c | 59.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4ceabacked Fever | 73c | 59.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sun | 61c | 57.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…3d68backed Fever | 72c | 56.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Sun | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…2e99backed Fever | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fever | 51c | 48.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Fever | 29c | 45.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Fever | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Sun | 28c | 36.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Fever | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Sun | 31c | 33.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Fever | 55c | 23.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Fever | 70c | 21.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Fever | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…72d5backed Sun | 77c | 14.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.