Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Italy vs Georgia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80b11e8261d46b29dc902caed5e78329681af053a845d88b68369bc65700a4a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Italyof Italy, Georgia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Georgia | 34c | 2,500$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Italy | 74c | 1,194$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Italy | 65c | 1,193$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.62 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Georgia | 37c | 1,135$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Italy | 66c | 1,012$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Georgia | 35c | 625.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Italy | 65c | 480.76$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Italy | 72c | 449.97$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Georgia | 41c | 245.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Italy | 64c | 229.52$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Italy | 63c | 156.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Italy | 65c | 153$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Italy | 67c | 150.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Italy | 66c | 113$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Georgia | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Italy | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Georgia | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Georgia | 40c | 105.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Georgia | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Georgia | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Italy | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Italy | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Georgia | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Italy | 64c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.