Will West Ham win on 2025-08-16?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ee0448d22805f42c273310c933d7bf3982691efe6c350a82917334e393ae882

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 16, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,154 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3061…dd00backed Yes	42c	4,929$2,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,093.18	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No	58c	3,153$1,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.77	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No	58c	2,991$1,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.01	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes	43c	2,325$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.75	204	47.1%96 W · 108 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No	58c	2,168$1,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910.59	325	58.8%191 W · 134 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No	57c	1,916$1,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.91	220	50%110 W · 110 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	57c	1,750$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.48	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	57c	1,261$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.26	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes	43c	1,150$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.5	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed No	57c	1,052$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.47	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	43c	1,052$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Yes	42c	1,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes	43c	930.23$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes	43c	806.51$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.8	80	45%36 W · 44 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	58c	679.87$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.01	4,874	41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No	56c	497.54$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.92	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes	41c	487.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe14c…a5babacked Yes	44c	451.93$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	43c	348.84$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes	40c	281.28$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.51	253	39.1%99 W · 154 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	64c	259$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.76	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes	38c	210$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.8	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	180	45.6%82 W · 98 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes	42c	199.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes	39c	187.18$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-4.5wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes	43c	174.42$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	58c	172.81$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.81	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes	44c	170.45$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes	43c	165.12$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes	43c	158.28$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.06	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Yes	37c	150$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes	44c	128$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.32	191	28.8%55 W · 136 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Yes	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No	56c	123.56$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.37	211	54.5%115 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	39c	112.82$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef61…89f8backed Yes	43c	111.63$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	56c	104$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.76	835	59.3%495 W · 340 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes	43c	101.32$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-7.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Yes	34c	99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.66	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1e…cc93backed No	58c	95.38$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.06	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	57cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes	44c	70$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Yes	42c	69.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No	58c	55.17$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.17	194	60.3%117 W · 77 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	57c	54.22$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.31	215	48.8%105 W · 110 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No	57c	49.22$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.39	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd4…f1b8backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes	43c	42.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x468f…b04abacked Yes	29c	41.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No	58c	40.84$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.15	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	113	53.1%60 W · 53 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x887c…e405backed Yes	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3c…ac4fbacked Yes	43c	32.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd98f…a5fbbacked Yes	44c	31.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	43c	31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b36…9f34backed Yes	44c	29.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0d…59d0backed Yes	39c	28.21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes	44c	27.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510e…7c62backed Yes	43c	25.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed No	59c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.84	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c7…7613backed Yes	44c	23.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No	56c	22.73$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No	57c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will West Ham win on 2025-08-16?this page
Will Sunderland AFC vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-16?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will West Ham win on 2025-08-16?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event