Premier League · resolved market
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacd6a07550dcffad0c91ab59b698635431884b8f43e84380786a681d35844e78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 2,550$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked No | 73c | 2,499$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 31c | 2,388$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 70c | 2,061$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.31 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 2c | 1,678$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 72c | 954.59$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.34 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 71c | 691.21$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.76 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 616.6$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.29 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 73c | 439$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 73c | 423.29$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 407.2$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.04 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 364.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 28c | 359.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 27c | 304$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 67c | 285.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 269.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 28c | 253$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 29c | 182.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 28c | 155.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 27c | 141$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 30c | 138.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 29c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 26c | 81.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 29c | 77.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Yes | 28c | 76.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…2e37backed No | 72c | 70.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 27c | 68.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 30c | 68.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…6fc1backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 73c | 62.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 72c | 59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Yes | 69c | 52.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…ccdfbacked Yes | 73c | 50.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…24f0backed Yes | 77c | 50.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…1bdcbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 75c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-16?this page
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.