La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a8ea5f824635250673c056584dc145f65f903745b08f7a34db91a6c33234f18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 3,116$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.13 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,216$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 29c | 1,473$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,371$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.97 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 31c | 1,042$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 52c | 999.91$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.96 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 48c | 925.43$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 13c | 528.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 71c | 524$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 31c | 482.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 431$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 47c | 341$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 17c | 336.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 333$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 31c | 326.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 37c | 324.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…033fbacked Yes | 48c | 313.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 28c | 297$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 20c | 255.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 60c | 221.76$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 48c | 221$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 33c | 213.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 48c | 209.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…550dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 52c | 174.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 48c | 172.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 30c | 166.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 155.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 53c | 135.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 11c | 134.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 133.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 27c | 129.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 40c | 123.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 32c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 59c | 101.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 94.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 92.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 52c | 88.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 46c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…5a56backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 53c | 74.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 46c | 72.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 30c | 66.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…2489backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 50c | 59.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…a5b8backed Yes | 48c | 41.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…eff5backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 52c | 32.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…c262backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…c7e1backed Yes | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Getafe vs. Levante UD end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.