La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa54cb81ed91f7ff7b50efc839aa75acc9eeb7ef167501828e81c741420370d57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 1,349$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.87 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 41c | 902.88$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.11 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 798.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.66 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 68c | 322.11$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 41c | 317.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 29c | 222$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfa…b8f9backed No | 33c | 149.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 34c | 148.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 135.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 73.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 77c | 57.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…bc2dbacked Yes | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 37.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…a384backed No | 72c | 20.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 70c | 20.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…9303backed Yes | 80c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 70c | 17.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-09-27?No won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.