La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d19c409d0c37586ab9920d90138d93f906e6d6e1d0461c83ca923feb47d31bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 24c | 1,279$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 1,055$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.94 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 829.4$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 31c | 611.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 77c | 268.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 77c | 245.45$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 46c | 217.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 77c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 97.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 21c | 95.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 25c | 80.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 27c | 73.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 44c | 68.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 56c | 68.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 75c | 67.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 49c | 52.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…e801backed No | 62c | 43.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 63c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Getafe vs. Levante UD end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Getafe win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.