Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601cd732f899d4fa680bc40b521ed9d2212af181fb108b6eccd066434931e868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 53c | 21,616$11,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,425.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 52c | 10,100$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821.48 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Yes | 52c | 9,777$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 9,317$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.17 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 47c | 8,781$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.87 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 7,419$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.79 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.98 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 48c | 5,898$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.81 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 48c | 5,018$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 46c | 4,976$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.87 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 4,224$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.16 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 53c | 4,128$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 53c | 2,737$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 2,057$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.25 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 53c | 1,948$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 40c | 1,663$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 1,551$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.81 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 54c | 1,480$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,445$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…77c4backed Yes | 73c | 1,354$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 15c | 1,326$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 3c | 1,275$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.46 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed No | 50c | 1,190$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 48c | 1,187$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 48c | 1,177$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 47c | 1,117$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 48c | 999.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 39c | 760$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 29c | 744.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.74 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked No | 42c | 673.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 635.71$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.32 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df8…6bf3backed Yes | 52c | 624.62$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 71c | 510$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.49 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 50c | 444.75$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.01 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 358.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 352.38$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.45 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 49c | 334.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 45c | 310.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 57c | 283.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed9…427cbacked Yes | 58c | 277.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 25c | 275$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 53c | 207$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…6ff8backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 52c | 192.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…3520backed Yes | 56c | 188.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…2e10backed Yes | 52c | 186.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 48c | 186.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 48c | 182.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 74c | 181.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d99…9666backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…03cdbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed Yes | 51c | 146.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 73c | 136.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…7b5ebacked Yes | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 51c | 123.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 50c | 123.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 52c | 122.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 56c | 116.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…bee1backed Yes | 77c | 115.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 51c | 114$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 44c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 46c | 102.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Yes | 56c | 99.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…4e02backed No | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed No | 48c | 94.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…628cbacked Yes | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Yes | 51c | 85.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…512cbacked Yes | 52c | 85.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.