Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69bf4f8aa2acb131126f0e552f7b5bf1d1e4de09e9271d7b745da48fb5f6b611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 51c | 13,231$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.57 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 51c | 10,463$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.44 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed No | 54c | 8,722$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 48c | 6,417$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 52c | 5,588$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.19 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 52c | 3,961$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 53c | 1,798$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.19 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 76c | 1,728$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.62 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 54c | 967.86$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.64 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 51c | 890$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 3c | 850$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 46c | 847.83$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.83 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked No | 2c | 533.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 52c | 524$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.48 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 46c | 478.83$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.57 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 46c | 459.57$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.17 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 51c | 432.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.89 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked No | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 356.85$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 53c | 340.03$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 46c | 332.94$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 327.78$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 51c | 292.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 275$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 54c | 268$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 37c | 199.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…96d6backed Yes | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 47c | 154.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 136.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…a321backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed Yes | 79c | 117.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Yes | 47c | 115.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 47c | 98.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…6e8fbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…c4e3backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…2c08backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 61c | 71.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 53c | 68.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed No | 55c | 66.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 47c | 66.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 54c | 53.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…1e8abacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…ac4fbacked Yes | 47c | 45.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…0217backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…fc45backed Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca99…d9e7backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…1486backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…40a2backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…5144backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-08-17?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.