Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25f96513332f0b14ec5f389ac08bc6ded1e96e62023505c55e82dd9ec0822e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 73c | 6,543$4,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.63 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 27c | 3,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 3,250$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 76c | 919.79$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 75c | 778$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 602.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.55 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 24c | 433.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Yes | 27c | 373.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 27c | 363$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 296.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 27c | 271.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 73c | 210.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yes | 26c | 191.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…893abacked Yes | 27c | 177.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 137$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 118$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca99…d9e7backed Yes | 23c | 85.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 73c | 83.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 74c | 83.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…6d97backed Yes | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 74c | 56.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 20c | 54.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 71c | 51.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a27…0da3backed Yes | 27c | 38.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 73c | 24.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.