Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Poland vs Belgium
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe23c549e877541d4218adcfea5aba7b07d088ced891e50b914115f4393e075ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof Poland, Belgium
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Belgium | 39c | 5,644$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.48 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Poland | 61c | 4,344$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.97 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Belgium | 18c | 1,492$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.29 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Poland | 73c | 1,314$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…5c6abacked Belgium | 14c | 807.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Belgium | 13c | 622.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.31 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Belgium | 13c | 600$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Belgium | 13c | 599$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.13 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Poland | 70c | 477.59$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Poland | 45c | 441.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Belgium | 32c | 408.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Belgium | 17c | 399$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Poland | 46c | 324.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Belgium | 35c | 270.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Belgium | 17c | 250$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Belgium | 25c | 180.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Belgium | 29c | 147$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked Belgium | 14c | 139.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Belgium | 15c | 132.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Poland | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…b2c2backed Belgium | 13c | 99.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Poland | 43c | 94.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…943dbacked Belgium | 13c | 92.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2ce2backed Belgium | 27c | 82.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…e547backed Poland | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Belgium | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Poland | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Poland | 80c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Belgium | 38c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Belgium | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Belgium | 42c | 26.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…3668backed Poland | 73c | 14.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.