La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6890f39e0bb7f48985442a969a9a3e08650cb457e6a3098bdc9229af24a9e61e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 16c | 3,338$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 1,111$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.62 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked No | 8c | 834.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 15c | 809.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…4a80backed Yes | 6c | 487.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +306.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 15c | 247.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 13c | 149$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…27e8backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 14c | 107$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 99.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 16c | 67.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-17?No won
- Will Espanyol vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.