La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe1c1fb9df7d649d849f6edd35c5d6b7afde19a6932aad283e16cd5c341a4f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 26c | 3,338$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 74c | 1,606$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.48 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 20c | 979.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 627.53$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 76c | 462$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 462$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 45c | 264.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…4a80backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +306.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 14c | 198.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 7c | 150$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…b4abbacked Yes | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 98.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 26c | 77.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 74c | 70.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 62c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…23c9backed Yes | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-17?No won
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.