TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e94…6243backed No34c4,397$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.515961%36 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No40c3,521$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.621070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes60c3,463$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes61c1,793$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.5620255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No38c1,716$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.745054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes58c1,712$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No38c1,648$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.496860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes62c1,527$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9546344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c1,227$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.713,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked No39c1,145$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No40c1,058$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+205.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d0f…933abacked Yes62c1,011$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.741060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes61c870$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes60c646.67$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3884242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No38c643.11$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0235054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No37c541.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.127762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30022448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No39c499.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9825551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No39c499.95$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.977953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes44c458.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No18c399.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9912050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes52c384.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes61c352.46$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2156426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes38c331.58$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414c…cf4dbacked Yes60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes34c271$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0517744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes61c260.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…b219backed Yes61c247.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4535…d7a1backed Yes62c234.6$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes61c223$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2610063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes55c220.52$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7328342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No38c201.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2315851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No37c199.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed No37c199.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.99333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No15c198.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.634235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No37c173.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7343255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes62c167.74$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes71c164.33$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.322857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes61c163.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2908…12c7backed Yes61c163$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes62c161.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.381471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be4…6ff8backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Yes63c159.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes70c158.15$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7113969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No31c145.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.063250%16 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cc6…b4abbacked Yes62c125$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No39c116$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.769560%57 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825028%14 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+105.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes62c81.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.343151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebbe…3bcbbacked Yes63c73.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32a2…1e8abacked Yes61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4420…23c9backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe34a…273ebacked Yes61c58.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d91…863dbacked Yes62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes60c54.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.743060%18 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No39c52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.721163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+65.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes62c48.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.032962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No38c45.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2929053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fb…2b2abacked Yes62c40.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.250%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d99…24f0backed Yes61c32.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes61c32.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff4…8a93backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb54b…3859backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd4…f1b8backed Yes63c31.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No41c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.934465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfccf…2aefbacked Yes61c25.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc9…40a2backed Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e6…5468backed Yes61c24.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8398…d71cbacked Yes62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f7…e22cbacked Yes62c22.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…e707backed Yes62c18.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e9…c49cbacked Yes62c16.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb2…5293backed Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed No75c13.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.31540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick75cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.