TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Lynx vs Dream

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dreamof Lynx, Dream
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57a8…6933backed Dream45c22,178$9,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,191.923961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Lynx55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Dream48c15,485$7,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,050.7211754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Lynx52c12,789$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,650.474959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lynx58c8,987$5,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,195.772330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Dream42c4,947$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dream44c4,154$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.957162%44 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Lynx46c4,022$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Dream49c3,280$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.823652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lynx56c3,150$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.523931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Lynx56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.975259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Lynx52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dream42c2,197$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.7912463.7%79 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Dream52c2,065$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.197236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Lynx55c1,800$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.343458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Dream43c1,650$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.56640.9%27 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dream65c1,516$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0219142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Dream53c1,415$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.557440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Dream43c1,390$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.247855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Dream43c1,374$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Lynx40c1,338$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.562755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dream64c1,270$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6215246.7%71 W · 81 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Dream41c903.2$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.477753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dream44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44812840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Lynx54c785$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-65.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Lynx57c753.69$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.64252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Lynx56c712.57$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Lynx50c655.2$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.63351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73e…9e1bbacked Dream58c624.99$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Dream41c599.92$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9510337.9%39 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Lynx50c509.59$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.681127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Lynx14c500$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Lynx59c417.79$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.478633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f2…1742backed Lynx53c376.49$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Lynx21c333$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.932425%6 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x166a…5ba5backed Lynx46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505939%23 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Lynx52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f5b…6759backed Lynx60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+158.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Lynx55c241.84$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Lynx41c241.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Dream43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5612045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Dream43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream44c227.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3723431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2727232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dream54c226.83$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3421440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Lynx36c222.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Lynx57c200.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.013246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Dream43c194$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6438650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx45c190.32$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2720642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lynx56c181.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6421337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Dream54c175.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.773943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lynx57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Dream50c158$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.28551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Dream63c153.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.512568%17 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lynx59c147$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.588548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Lynx58c146.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.251250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Dream44c136.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Lynx60c132.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Lynx45c132.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Lynx50c132$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662853.6%15 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Lynx25c121.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.13425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+92.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Lynx44c109$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.962050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea6…2edabacked Lynx43c105.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Lynx58c103.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1310039%39 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Lynx46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464030%12 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Lynx52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Lynx55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Dream43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+94.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dream78c96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.367542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xded7…1ef1backed Dream66c90.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.671764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Dream79c87$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.112548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Lynx58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Dream51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.163056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d4…e199backed Dream48c62.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Lynx51c53.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.322437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Dream56c53.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.551668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Dream42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.625234.6%18 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…db9dbacked Dream42c42.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…5e16backed Dream68c40.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7552…0f46backed Lynx51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Dream51c39.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.251442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lynx30c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5731847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Dream50c32.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.252450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x449c…c659backed Lynx60c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Dream42c31.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.569839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Dream66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed Lynx52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Lynx52c29.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.353030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Lynx50c27.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.751827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…ac8dbacked Dream43c24.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921275%9 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+72.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Lynx67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4029…f30abacked Lynx60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd210…95cbbacked Lynx73c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.