WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs. Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2133e880674c1631f89bc50cf7df45c3a1a23de463aea1ea37621afa0a60cef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Aces, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 18c | 9,750$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.44 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Sky | 18c | 7,851$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.96 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Sky | 22c | 2,275$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sky | 20c | 1,849$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sky | 20c | 1,713$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces | 79c | 1,069$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sky | 16c | 1,062$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Aces | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sky | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Sky | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sky | 16c | 600$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sky | 4c | 594.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sky | 18c | 539.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Sky | 16c | 524.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Sky | 15c | 520$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 21c | 486.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Sky | 10c | 447.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Aces | 51c | 443.42$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sky | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…b328backed Sky | 12c | 248.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aces | 77c | 240$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sky | 17c | 232.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Sky | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sky | 16c | 216.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Sky | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sky | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aces | 79c | 128.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 16c | 124.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…d90cbacked Sky | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sky | 17c | 115.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 79c | 114.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sky | 13c | 102.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…b62abacked Sky | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Sky | 18c | 85.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Sky | 25c | 82.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Sky | 31c | 79.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f3…7d49backed Sky | 18c | 60.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Sky | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Aces | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.