NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Celtics

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c31b7cf0d9d7ac4d0b9e69fdc073c04fda0ebf7464a523144adc50c15717dc

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Jazz, Celtics
Resolved: Nov 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,323,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,382,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,323,911 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4df0…8f4ebacked Celtics	0c	174,494$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.74	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Celtics	40c	100,000$39,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,998	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Celtics	19c	99,336$18,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,618.32	471	44.2%208 W · 263 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Celtics	43c	73,464$31,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,660.43	474	48.7%231 W · 243 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Jazz	75c	41,184$30,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,296.11	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adb…a902backed Jazz	36c	33,733$12,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,533.72	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Jazz	19c	32,000$6,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,919.62	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Jazz	69c	30,666$21,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,364.58	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics	80c	20,000$16,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,000	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz	11c	20,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,900	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Jazz	50c	18,600$9,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,300	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+7.6wins	+0.19per pick	19cpaid	+241.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0649…52adbacked Celtics	50c	18,600$9,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Celtics	80c	16,641$13,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,312.8	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics	37c	13,189$4,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,909.32	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jazz	48c	13,065$6,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,787.73	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Celtics	57c	12,925$7,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,387.37	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz	22c	12,495$2,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,759	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics	38c	11,300$4,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,342.77	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz	19c	7,129$1,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,774.63	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Celtics	65c	5,788$3,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,742.48	348	52.3%182 W · 166 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz	20c	5,401$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,336.03	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz	33c	5,241$1,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,497.75	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Jazz	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jazz	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Jazz	19c	5,000$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,049.88	181	42%76 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics	72c	4,398$3,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,164.42	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Celtics	6c	4,346$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.8	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Jazz	20c	4,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,200	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Jazz	75c	3,513$2,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.59	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jazz	20c	3,468$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,774.04	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df6…4808backed Jazz	14c	3,000$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,589.99	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics	36c	2,766$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.61	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Celtics	62c	2,740$1,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,687.08	531	34.7%184 W · 347 L	-11.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jazz	20c	2,674$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142.95	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Celtics	30c	2,661$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.61	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics	51c	2,629$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,337.76	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jazz	20c	2,500$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Celtics	1c	2,498$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics	80c	2,485$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.27	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Jazz	53c	2,432$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.63	294	58.5%172 W · 122 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Celtics	2c	2,200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Jazz	22c	2,198$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,709.32	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa153…135fbacked Jazz	20c	2,050$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,640	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	20c	2,050$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,640	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Celtics	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…fae0backed Celtics	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7a…e8f5backed Jazz	20c	2,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+71.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Jazz	20c	2,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…7381backed Jazz	20c	1,950$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed Jazz	20c	1,900$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,520	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Celtics	60c	1,700$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Celtics	80c	1,680$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.93	121	60.3%73 W · 48 L	+10.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics	78c	1,630$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,271.91	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics	79c	1,551$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.85	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Jazz	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Jazz	31c	1,489$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,027.44	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Celtics	71c	1,408$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Jazz	20c	1,400$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Jazz	20c	1,400$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	121	43%52 W · 69 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8960…0526backed Jazz	20c	1,350$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.71per pick	29cpaid	+281.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics	61c	1,257$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.22	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Jazz	78c	1,253$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.69	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Celtics	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Celtics	16c	1,200$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Celtics	67c	1,086$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	141	41.1%58 W · 83 L	-10.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77dd…926dbacked Jazz	23c	1,073$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.58	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	25cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Jazz	19c	1,027$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.54	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Celtics	42c	1,003$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.53	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Jazz	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Jazz	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Jazz	19c	1,000$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Jazz	17c	1,000$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeefb…c552backed Jazz	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…9c77backed Jazz	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Jazz	9c	1,000$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+150.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Celtics	6c	999.97$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz	13c	999.33$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.91	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2d17backed Jazz	20c	985$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa10d…ff63backed Jazz	20c	985$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36c…dd37backed Jazz	20c	985$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8208…fb88backed Jazz	20c	985$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa213…cb3dbacked Jazz	20c	985$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Celtics	3c	979.43$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	163	25.2%41 W · 122 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Celtics	21c	952$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.92	390	18.2%71 W · 319 L	+27.6wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2a9…bdd3backed Jazz	20c	940$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Celtics	25c	899.98$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.48	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz	38c	875.55$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.07	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics	41c	866.97$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.71	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x375e…9725backed Jazz	20c	854.55$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+219.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	26c	843.01$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.83	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz	30c	813.08$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.16	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Jazz	20c	800$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Celtics	53c	791.86$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.68	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Celtics	24c	783.33$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Jazz	18c	750.46$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.41	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Celtics	74c	732.7$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.75	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Celtics	6c	709$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.51	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Celtics	43c	705.66$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.12	381	51.2%195 W · 186 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jazz	22c	694$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.32	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Celtics	21c	638.05$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	345	24.3%84 W · 261 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Celtics

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event