NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaffbcd72242aa6a7f0183444fb77357a71db83a3d2d483bc070d9f11fea8babb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Kings | 22c | 54,635$12,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,160.72 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 10c | 20,090$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 75c | 13,582$10,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.5 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Thunder | 77c | 11,192$8,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.29 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Kings | 12c | 10,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 25c | 10,000$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Kings | 10c | 9,933$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Thunder | 76c | 9,858$7,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.84 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Thunder | 79c | 9,331$7,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.76 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 79c | 8,400$6,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.57 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 8c | 8,246$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.07 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Kings | 21c | 7,298$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Kings | 25c | 6,235$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.1 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kings | 22c | 5,551$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.42 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Kings | 8c | 5,127$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.19 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 78c | 2,902$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.53 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 12c | 2,753$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.98 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Kings | 22c | 2,609$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.3 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Kings | 23c | 2,224$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.56 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Thunder | 78c | 2,079$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.49 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 77c | 2,074$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.06 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Kings | 2c | 1,902$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Kings | 3c | 1,782$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings | 20c | 1,772$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.72 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,546$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.04 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,512$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.75 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Kings | 21c | 1,505$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Thunder | 79c | 1,500$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.35 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…2c7ebacked Thunder | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Thunder | 78c | 1,279$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Kings | 24c | 1,260$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 12c | 1,250$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Kings | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Kings | 25c | 1,239$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.68 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kings | 1c | 1,207$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Kings | 22c | 1,170$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Kings | 14c | 1,158$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 79c | 1,030$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 77c | 1,005$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.15 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Thunder | 79c | 1,004$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Kings | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Thunder | 76c | 934.11$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.58 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…30a3backed Kings | 23c | 882.74$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 78c | 805.18$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Kings | 25c | 804.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 73c | 772.24$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 772$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Kings | 3c | 679.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Kings | 25c | 666.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 21c | 604.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Kings | 21c | 602.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Kings | 8c | 576.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Thunder | 79c | 569.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 21c | 544.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Kings | 9c | 530$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 18c | 518.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Thunder | 79c | 516.41$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Thunder | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Kings | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Thunder | 79c | 486.85$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Thunder | 75c | 480.79$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Thunder | 77c | 475.38$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…d965backed Kings | 22c | 457.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Kings | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Thunder | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kings | 9c | 427$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed Thunder | 77c | 423.51$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Kings | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Kings | 6c | 403.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Thunder | 78c | 400.5$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d46…cc6dbacked Kings | 22c | 396.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Kings | 7c | 390$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Thunder | 79c | 379$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…8c35backed Kings | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Kings | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…bacabacked Thunder | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Kings | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…feb6backed Kings | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Thunder | 80c | 225$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Thunder | 76c | 220$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings | 24c | 206.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Thunder | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Thunder | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…8a4cbacked Thunder | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Kings | 20c | 189.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…ee09backed Kings | 22c | 188.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9b…ede9backed Thunder | 79c | 183.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…036bbacked Kings | 23c | 181.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…be67backed Thunder | 79c | 176.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…672ebacked Thunder | 79c | 171.89$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…1b33backed Thunder | 79c | 170.66$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.