NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd8fa08697c5bc240e61768b20ddb2e24071b341c5a47b878a51d9bf334c0ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Celtics, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pacers | 31c | 78,027$24,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,965.56 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Celtics | 69c | 54,355$37,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,505.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Celtics | 77c | 20,006$15,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,456.08 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 63c | 9,459$5,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.04 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 1c | 6,711$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Pacers | 28c | 6,087$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.56 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Celtics | 7c | 6,081$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.68 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Celtics | 70c | 4,285$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.5 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics | 58c | 3,581$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.65 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Celtics | 26c | 3,200$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.61 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Pacers | 17c | 2,610$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.66 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Celtics | 37c | 2,283$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.58 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 30c | 1,901$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.12 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…bd92backed Celtics | 71c | 1,559$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Celtics | 7c | 1,529$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Pacers | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.9 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Celtics | 18c | 1,333$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Celtics | 14c | 1,284$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…dd68backed Celtics | 1c | 1,064$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Pacers | 26c | 1,054$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.7 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +85%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Celtics | 9c | 1,040$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Celtics | 51c | 1,040$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.2 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pacers | 37c | 1,023$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.86 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Pacers | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Celtics | 2c | 990$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Pacers | 28c | 877.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Celtics | 74c | 877.03$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…fbf7backed Celtics | 8c | 830.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Pacers | 23c | 800.28$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.01 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93d3…08adbacked Celtics | 8c | 793.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…f437backed Pacers | 30c | 792.07$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700d…fa25backed Celtics | 72c | 781.18$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…73fdbacked Celtics | 72c | 728.15$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Celtics | 70c | 724.43$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Celtics | 71c | 706.11$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked Pacers | 29c | 705.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Celtics | 36c | 682.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Pacers | 22c | 594.19$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Celtics | 69c | 514$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.66 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Celtics | 19c | 513.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Celtics | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Pacers | 31c | 497.17$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 13c | 494.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Celtics | 72c | 490$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Celtics | 69c | 484.38$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.38 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…b1ecbacked Celtics | 72c | 481.07$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Celtics | 43c | 430$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Celtics | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Celtics | 72c | 396.81$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…f0c2backed Pacers | 31c | 380.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…07b8backed Celtics | 71c | 380.28$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Celtics | 8c | 353.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Celtics | 37c | 353.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Pacers | 41c | 334.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.07 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…9d76backed Celtics | 12c | 320$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…89d8backed Celtics | 77c | 296.11$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…8d72backed Pacers | 34c | 296.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…1151backed Celtics | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 40c | 275.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.27 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Celtics | 6c | 269.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -13.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics | 77c | 258.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Pacers | 65c | 253.57$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Celtics | 71c | 249.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Celtics | 69c | 232.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.9 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Celtics | 70c | 230$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Pacers | 22c | 219.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Pacers | 32c | 216.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 69c | 207.24$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…19f8backed Celtics | 72c | 200.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Celtics | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…aca8backed Celtics | 8c | 183.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Celtics | 10c | 179.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…9695backed Pacers | 36c | 170$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Celtics | 71c | 155.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…53f7backed Pacers | 29c | 155$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Celtics | 13c | 154.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…9dedbacked Celtics | 75c | 154.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Celtics | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Celtics | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Celtics | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Celtics | 55c | 141.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…f959backed Pacers | 28c | 139.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Celtics | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Celtics | 74c | 135.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…ebbdbacked Celtics | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Pacers | 55c | 129.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Celtics | 43c | 128.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked Pacers | 32c | 126.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…93b4backed Celtics | 75c | 118.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers | 21c | 118.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Celtics | 75c | 114.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Celtics | 31c | 111.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Celtics | 49c | 107$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…c007backed Celtics | 71c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Pacers | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…0498backed Celtics | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Pacers | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…6f4fbacked Pacers | 31c | 88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…6159backed Celtics | 72c | 70.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Celtics | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.