NFL · resolved market
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128fcf8ce54619791a6d85c3ae9d2e8b5abcac5e152e95499f4b6b00d0449913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $929,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $975,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $929,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 895 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 63c | 194,002$122,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,692.59 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 72c | 58,187$41,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,292.23 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 17c | 34,233$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,348.04 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…50a4backed Yes | 27c | 18,223$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,319.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 28c | 18,008$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,042.2 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…47a9backed Yes | 71c | 14,081$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.54 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 54c | 14,006$7,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,477.87 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 45c | 13,010$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,096.29 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 31c | 10,500$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,242.02 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 56c | 7,516$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.43 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed No | 35c | 5,954$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.8 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 57c | 5,837$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.56 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…aca0backed Yes | 72c | 5,106$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 30c | 5,080$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.86 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…1da6backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 14c | 4,374$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.67 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…5830backed Yes | 25c | 4,047$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.54 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 56c | 3,945$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.68 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 62c | 3,725$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.49 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 42c | 3,451$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.47 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 70c | 3,402$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 17c | 3,265$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.81 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 38c | 3,048$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.96 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 32c | 2,833$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.92 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 30c | 2,606$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.79 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…d159backed Yes | 67c | 2,456$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,438$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.06 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…b2f8backed No | 22c | 2,209$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed No | 28c | 2,118$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.98 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 34c | 2,053$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.24 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed No | 27c | 2,035$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Yes | 65c | 2,021$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.32 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 27c | 1,983$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 30c | 1,970$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.14 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 30c | 1,923$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.81 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 40c | 1,601$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.35 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 19c | 1,577$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.83 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 1,576$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.93 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked No | 33c | 1,525$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Yes | 24c | 1,435$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +314.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,245$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.08 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 67c | 1,150$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Yes | 66c | 1,115$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed No | 52c | 1,075$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.94 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Yes | 72c | 1,050$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 999.89$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.91 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 12c | 906.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 6c | 900$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 22c | 820.1$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.81 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…dc07backed Yes | 25c | 800.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 35c | 788.52$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.02 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…5344backed Yes | 23c | 778.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 57c | 752.14$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.57 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 27c | 741.37$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.16 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941c…5a35backed Yes | 33c | 715.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…e880backed No | 30c | 712.37$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 31c | 700.07$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.61 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 77c | 700$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Yes | 44c | 681.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.69 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 69c | 664.99$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…0558backed Yes | 15c | 575.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +171%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Yes | 13c | 572.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.16 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c18…2fb9backed Yes | 25c | 568.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +103%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 25c | 559.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 12c | 555$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.93 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ec73backed Yes | 65c | 533.33$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed No | 29c | 531.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…ddccbacked Yes | 31c | 517.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…f823backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…ad51backed Yes | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 32c | 468.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…3076backed Yes | 25c | 460.62$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked No | 19c | 432.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed No | 75c | 425$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 67c | 405.73$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…4290backed Yes | 54c | 393.87$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes | 21c | 331.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.58 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Yes | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…5465backed Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…fe02backed Yes | 72c | 281.9$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…42edbacked Yes | 21c | 269.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…7c3cbacked Yes | 36c | 260$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 29c | 252.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked No | 37c | 250.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…7d5ebacked Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 37c | 242.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…43d0backed No | 29c | 226.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…62fbbacked Yes | 30c | 216.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1a89backed Yes | 32c | 212.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?this page
- Will the 49ers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Giants win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Seahawks win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.