TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Giants win the NFC Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,107,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$626,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,107,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c400,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c89,100$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.231769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf084…11cdbacked Yes0c22,214$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c21,091$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.792430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c20,558$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.22464.3%2 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08d…b090backed Yes1c19,532$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf51f…2e11backed Yes1c19,532$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d69…7a01backed Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d4…bb0abacked Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0153…6f67backed Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5c…b9c1backed Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951e…9d81backed Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bc…737cbacked Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f91…5b0fbacked Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc3…243cbacked Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53eb…83f2backed Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ff…1a7dbacked Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf778…77d1backed Yes1c19,507$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cc…c74dbacked Yes1c19,482$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf633…a07fbacked Yes1c19,482$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ec…5161backed Yes1c19,482$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…dd48backed Yes1c19,482$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd87c…7733backed Yes1c19,482$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0a…39fabacked Yes1c19,457$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1e74backed Yes1c19,457$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e55…99b7backed Yes1c19,457$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f6…588bbacked Yes1c18,772$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…6854backed Yes1c18,091$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x483b…0954backed Yes1c18,091$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3467…669dbacked Yes1c18,091$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84c…bb7dbacked Yes1c18,091$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x526d…d5efbacked Yes1c18,088$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cfa…52edbacked Yes1c18,088$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e2…747fbacked Yes1c18,088$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e19…13b2backed Yes1c18,088$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72dc…cd4cbacked Yes1c18,086$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7615…a496backed Yes1c18,086$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd7…2146backed Yes1c18,086$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b16…0b9ebacked Yes1c18,086$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b7…6680backed Yes1c18,083$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8004…cba2backed Yes1c18,083$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc9…ef66backed Yes1c18,083$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x015e…40a3backed Yes1c18,083$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e26…ac29backed Yes1c18,081$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267e…bdd0backed Yes1c18,081$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd3…dc35backed Yes1c18,078$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f3…704dbacked Yes1c17,759$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…8c26backed Yes1c17,759$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb751…92d5backed Yes1c17,759$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2459…0856backed Yes1c17,709$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…a396backed Yes1c17,684$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…a8a2backed Yes1c17,659$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c35…e816backed Yes1c17,659$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x676c…ad08backed Yes1c17,282$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1635…a97bbacked Yes1c16,288$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02e4…8d3abacked Yes1c16,287$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae7…ec97backed Yes1c16,282$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1182…23aabacked Yes1c16,278$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448c…8a4bbacked Yes1c16,277$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b3…cc0dbacked Yes1c16,277$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa855…3499backed Yes1c16,273$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ba…c06fbacked Yes1c16,272$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7be…1763backed Yes1c16,272$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b47…76fdbacked Yes1c15,986$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-93.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d3…cf42backed Yes0c14,515$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f2…5e85backed Yes0c14,377$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c11,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-91.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980a…64e1backed Yes0c10,191$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20342.9%1 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-78.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201061.9%2 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick1cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7577…a59dbacked Yes1c9,891$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c3c…8f25backed Yes1c8,917$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…1872backed Yes0c8,082$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa6…da1bbacked Yes1c7,560$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300f…6a57backed Yes1c7,554$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a00…8cf0backed Yes1c7,554$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5cd…e092backed Yes1c7,534$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…46c5backed Yes1c7,510$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x458d…5f3abacked Yes1c7,510$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ad…943ebacked Yes1c7,510$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc4…3d6cbacked Yes1c7,510$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc95…62f4backed Yes1c7,509$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53da…3717backed Yes1c7,505$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c0…06b0backed Yes1c7,504$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fd…4374backed Yes1c7,503$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a7…96dbbacked Yes1c7,485$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f2…5483backed Yes1c7,484$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb315…e6d5backed Yes1c7,484$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e3…4c13backed Yes1c7,479$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…48c1backed Yes0c6,033$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4627…45d7backed Yes0c6,032$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d63…4b7ebacked Yes1c6,024$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd1…75e8backed Yes1c6,020$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…99d9backed Yes1c5,994$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f57…5f07backed Yes1c5,989$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705c…9273backed Yes0c5,628$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2083…2e65backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff6…7965backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.