NFL · resolved market

Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ce622d89aea8088e6f8ce054356023a7d6fc0c8c9778431f6db823a4aa22fc

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,625,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,509,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,625,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	27c	271,455$72,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,177.04	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	29c	52,813$15,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,053.69	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2625…b2f8backed Yes	28c	30,060$8,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,424.89	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-57%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes	5c	12,248$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.62	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes	6c	12,075$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.63	284	33.1%94 W · 190 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	12c	10,814$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.18	150	8%12 W · 138 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-74%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	10c	10,435$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.6	196	38.8%76 W · 120 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes	29c	9,716$2,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,771.78	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed No	73c	9,602$7,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,574.64	256	43.8%112 W · 144 L	+14.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	6c	9,200$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.25	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes	28c	8,500$2,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,413.2	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Yes	29c	7,798$2,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,295.92	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	5c	7,719$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.69	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x588a…a446backed Yes	5c	7,410$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes	6c	6,547$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.79	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-94.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes	15c	6,311$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.59	101	4%4 W · 97 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-87.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes	10c	5,782$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.67	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed No	71c	5,490$3,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,568.16	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Yes	28c	4,200$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.79	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes	14c	3,659$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.95	283	37.8%107 W · 176 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes	3c	3,436$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.89	243	51.4%125 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes	8c	3,200$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	87	29.9%26 W · 61 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7789…f823backed Yes	1c	3,166$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-84.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	9c	2,982$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.8	315	43.2%136 W · 179 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	1c	2,698$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.44	46	4.3%2 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cab…6817backed Yes	6c	2,530$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.9	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	9c	2,366$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.34	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No	69c	2,143$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.77	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No	71c	2,073$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.55	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7851backed Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No	71c	1,989$1,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.81	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b7…eb22backed No	71c	1,900$1,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes	16c	1,871$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.2	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6096…4810backed Yes	5c	1,819$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	35cpaid	+117.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes	6c	1,810$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.5	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	26cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70f4…1e3dbacked Yes	6c	1,742$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…bc7fbacked Yes	14c	1,742$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0802…81cabacked Yes	9c	1,714$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.84	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d79…4725backed Yes	15c	1,633$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.77	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes	4c	1,508$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.85	69	13%9 W · 60 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7007…00aabacked Yes	7c	1,477$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes	35c	1,441$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	5c	1,413$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.04	120	22.5%27 W · 93 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	25c	1,200$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.38	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes	27c	1,150$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.16	130	24.6%32 W · 98 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8507…8a79backed Yes	29c	1,089$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.76	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf123…686fbacked Yes	4c	1,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	4c	1,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	106	1.9%2 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x390d…350bbacked Yes	8c	982.39$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.64	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	31c	980.04$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.24	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No	70c	967$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.17	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bb…b3f0backed Yes	34c	965$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.86	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8310…ea24backed Yes	33c	914.78$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes	3c	862.02$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.17	128	42.2%54 W · 74 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…a126backed Yes	28c	827.69$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534d…84fbbacked Yes	6c	820$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes	12c	803.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78a…707cbacked Yes	7c	780.88$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadc3…1f67backed Yes	15c	751.19$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x865c…ea31backed Yes	4c	738.39$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes	3c	732.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	50	8%4 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes	4c	616.02$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f0…37adbacked Yes	8c	601.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	-8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee7…043dbacked No	78c	575.64$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.48	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c51…7049backed No	77c	546$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.75	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes	4c	538.77$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.74	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-93.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	23c	530$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.24	488	47.5%232 W · 256 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f3…8156backed Yes	29c	525.09$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db4…f9dfbacked Yes	29c	519$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes	13c	510.77$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.24	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd8d…26a6backed Yes	3c	510$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes	3c	503.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	74	9.5%7 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	21c	500$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.69	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes	7c	432.84$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.56	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes	9c	432.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e09…fd64backed Yes	5c	426.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Yes	28c	425$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x541b…a840backed Yes	7c	418.61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	71c	398.1$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.49	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb44…6d62backed Yes	5c	391.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa937…dbb1backed Yes	30c	374.06$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.71	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.6wins	-0.30per pick	38cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Yes	29c	362.5$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba1…2af6backed Yes	30c	328.46$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.45	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-60%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	33c	308.11$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.68	293	56%164 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb039…010fbacked Yes	7c	277.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a6…5efdbacked Yes	36c	275.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098a…6a94backed Yes	9c	248$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c0…2c7dbacked Yes	29c	241.83$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes	6c	241.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	207	33.8%70 W · 137 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17a…0bafbacked Yes	5c	216.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes	6c	201.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-70%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Yes	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	+20.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aed…2a74backed Yes	29c	200$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed49…ebb9backed Yes	8c	199.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes	8c	198.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	132	55.3%73 W · 59 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x678b…ecf4backed Yes	29c	198.57$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a4…194abacked No	72c	197.22$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.42	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+75.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes	29c	192$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.72	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x791c…6b61backed Yes	29c	174.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?this page
Will the 49ers win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?Yes won
Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Giants win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Seahawks win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event