TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,139,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,244,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,139,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6cf9…9d9fbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c72,538$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.641769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf88d…bbafbacked Yes0c61,687$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf2…a057backed Yes0c57,784$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…8ba4backed Yes0c57,774$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60d…4e71backed Yes0c57,370$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffdf…8164backed Yes0c56,817$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cd…55b4backed Yes0c56,706$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31f0…327ebacked Yes0c56,110$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…dd69backed Yes0c55,919$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cc…467dbacked Yes0c55,811$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…347fbacked Yes0c55,564$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f74…6ad4backed Yes0c55,540$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf9…4e61backed Yes0c55,442$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36fc…6b7ebacked Yes0c55,191$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a8…f206backed Yes0c55,152$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2c…35cebacked Yes0c54,703$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd7…1c2bbacked Yes0c54,457$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee1…4119backed Yes0c54,408$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8980…8fe5backed Yes0c54,340$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee49…b2e1backed Yes0c54,271$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ed…08b5backed Yes0c54,227$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e9…4d44backed Yes0c54,116$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4e…a2e8backed Yes0c53,883$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb25…c5febacked Yes0c53,314$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a4…9747backed Yes0c52,647$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0552…5746backed Yes0c52,609$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5833…5afebacked Yes0c52,467$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa943…2efdbacked Yes0c52,454$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8cc…ecc9backed Yes0c52,447$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a0…5bcebacked Yes0c52,350$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a7…6178backed Yes0c52,235$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a4…473cbacked Yes0c52,218$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f8…8561backed Yes0c52,180$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b67…ba3dbacked Yes0c51,822$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e0…dd54backed Yes0c51,573$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16d…89febacked Yes0c51,433$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc95…0782backed Yes0c51,402$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe2a…fca5backed Yes0c51,324$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…cbb2backed Yes0c51,299$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa518…55ccbacked Yes0c51,297$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…4fc7backed Yes0c51,186$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3f30backed Yes0c51,159$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe773…779cbacked Yes0c51,146$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ba…741bbacked Yes0c51,094$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9f…b367backed Yes0c51,061$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5884…b00cbacked Yes0c50,859$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5938…dbbabacked Yes0c50,773$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da0…dc2abacked Yes0c50,767$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b6…df59backed Yes0c50,664$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8550…46f2backed Yes0c50,639$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca4…bcb5backed Yes0c50,530$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…b63bbacked Yes0c50,415$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd4…4315backed Yes0c50,342$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc39b…dfc2backed Yes0c50,147$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb42e…374cbacked Yes0c50,122$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x623d…0aabbacked Yes0c50,023$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e4…f590backed Yes0c49,730$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe3…9396backed Yes0c49,410$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb27…0d69backed Yes0c48,917$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52b…dd1bbacked Yes0c48,887$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7859…b47dbacked Yes0c48,849$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b1…7db0backed Yes0c48,815$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3270…6baebacked Yes0c48,430$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4436…537ebacked Yes0c48,302$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…076cbacked Yes0c48,237$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece4…634cbacked Yes0c48,100$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66e…c11fbacked Yes0c48,092$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a2…3b70backed Yes0c48,070$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc1…b9d8backed Yes0c47,867$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe97a…1eb0backed Yes0c47,858$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd955…2031backed Yes0c47,819$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b02…13e0backed Yes0c47,446$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c91…2d29backed Yes0c47,417$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee4…635cbacked Yes0c47,292$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bc…ed68backed Yes0c47,232$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299c…c12dbacked Yes0c47,229$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1700…2cebbacked Yes0c47,229$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c5f…cf34backed Yes0c47,177$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50dd…c1acbacked Yes0c47,002$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1b…c392backed Yes0c46,993$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0568…1490backed Yes0c46,903$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b4…a375backed Yes0c46,824$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7977…db05backed Yes0c46,206$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe9…e105backed Yes0c45,798$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06bf…3654backed Yes0c45,764$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…24f2backed Yes0c45,303$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce1…fec6backed Yes0c44,858$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f45…2b9fbacked Yes0c44,816$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62b…e040backed Yes0c44,626$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222a…a06ebacked Yes0c44,555$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3a…ee99backed Yes0c44,520$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c8e…af52backed Yes0c44,497$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c43,613$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.062430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191c…2644backed Yes0c43,450$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x521e…0a03backed Yes0c42,511$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde05…1a29backed Yes0c42,499$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ed…4d80backed Yes0c42,444$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…d1b9backed Yes0c41,341$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe588…9b97backed Yes0c41,164$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.