TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Taira

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tairaof Park, Taira
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01ba…b77abacked Taira74c73,657$54,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,001.2822259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Park25c28,221$7,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,187.6914857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Park26c13,997$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,591.231936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Park22c11,761$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.647841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Park25c11,348$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.0837152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Park28c10,903$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0127653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb1…830cbacked Park26c8,009$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Taira74c7,743$5,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.2817158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Park26c7,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+82.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Taira73c5,955$4,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.133961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Taira73c5,241$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.2933253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Taira75c5,000$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Taira80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00029151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Taira74c4,890$3,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.31758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Taira75c4,614$3,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.574548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Park26c4,006$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.5613039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d6…d716backed Park27c3,693$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9972751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Taira73c3,475$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.346746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Park27c3,261$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.11650%8 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Park26c3,150$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81935826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Park20c2,540$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.2714530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Park26c2,488$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64712134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Park23c2,448$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.042924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Taira75c2,283$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.672755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Taira73c2,174$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.4616745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Taira74c2,069$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.225736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Park26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010041%41 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Taira74c1,986$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.393452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef9…f0dcbacked Park28c1,948$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2876…c4b2backed Park26c1,914$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.631838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Park26c1,901$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.2351533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Park26c1,778$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.4442042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Park27c1,665$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4473745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Taira72c1,600$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Taira73c1,591$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0413953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…b212backed Taira74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…1a34backed Taira72c1,494$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Park20c1,460$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.988248.8%40 W · 42 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Taira74c1,387$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.622948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Taira74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3535664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Taira75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Park18c1,160$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.214929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Taira74c1,160$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.423537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e2…aec0backed Park27c1,136$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0e…65b9backed Park27c1,128$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.4970%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5c…0b1abacked Park27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe893…f215backed Park27c1,108$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.144156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Taira80c1,080$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2163327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Taira74c1,074$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.144934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Taira74c1,018$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.731154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Taira72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2808256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Taira74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Taira74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Taira74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604161%25 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Park26c989.18$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.193342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Park26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Taira75c933.33$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3329848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Taira80c899.99$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18153956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Taira73c899.98$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.995147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Taira73c834.44$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.33066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Park26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2086142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Park26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2086829.4%20 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Taira75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Park11c769.56$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6518145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Park27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3843…b77cbacked Park27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13dd…b2b7backed Park27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004526.7%12 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f86…2a6dbacked Park28c713.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…884ebacked Park28c691.48$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91de…bac4backed Park27c580.05$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccbf…dce5backed Park26c571.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7d…dfdbbacked Park27c563.27$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d37…ce77backed Park27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Park26c530$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.81216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Taira74c523.61$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.143262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Park26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308835.2%31 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Taira72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404161%25 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Taira74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7d…7e36backed Taira75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd303…9c76backed Taira73c499.74$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.631250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Park26c464.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.688220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Park26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10432545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Taira79c400$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick75cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb408…f21bbacked Taira75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Park27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Taira73c399.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10948749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Park26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Park27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Park27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20f2…fbddbacked Park27c369.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.697048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb2…a999backed Park27c349.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Park26c318.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8820249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Park26c311.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.13345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…fd49backed Park27c301.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.21050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Taira75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7524862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Park27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8125251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe89e…bb74backed Park27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-67.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Park34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Taira73c299.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Taira75c298.04$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.517960.8%48 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.