UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Taira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6babe1fc72b143d2625f296aa0d6a68e396bf75521e6a0289b1aba790514ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tairaof Park, Taira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Taira | 74c | 73,657$54,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,001.28 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Park | 25c | 28,221$7,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,187.69 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Park | 26c | 13,997$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Park | 22c | 11,761$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.64 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Park | 25c | 11,348$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.08 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Park | 28c | 10,903$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…830cbacked Park | 26c | 8,009$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Taira | 74c | 7,743$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.28 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Park | 26c | 7,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Taira | 73c | 5,955$4,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.13 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Taira | 73c | 5,241$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.29 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Taira | 75c | 5,000$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Taira | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Taira | 74c | 4,890$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Taira | 75c | 4,614$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.57 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Park | 26c | 4,006$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.56 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Park | 27c | 3,693$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Taira | 73c | 3,475$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.34 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Park | 27c | 3,261$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Park | 26c | 3,150$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Park | 20c | 2,540$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.27 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Park | 26c | 2,488$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Park | 23c | 2,448$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.04 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Taira | 75c | 2,283$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.67 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Taira | 73c | 2,174$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.46 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Taira | 74c | 2,069$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.22 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Park | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Taira | 74c | 1,986$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.39 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…f0dcbacked Park | 28c | 1,948$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Park | 26c | 1,914$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Park | 26c | 1,901$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.23 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Park | 26c | 1,778$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.44 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Park | 27c | 1,665$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Taira | 72c | 1,600$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Taira | 73c | 1,591$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.04 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…b212backed Taira | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…1a34backed Taira | 72c | 1,494$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Park | 20c | 1,460$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Taira | 74c | 1,387$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Taira | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Taira | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Park | 18c | 1,160$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Taira | 74c | 1,160$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.4 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Park | 27c | 1,136$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0e…65b9backed Park | 27c | 1,128$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…0b1abacked Park | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Park | 27c | 1,108$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Taira | 80c | 1,080$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Taira | 74c | 1,074$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.14 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Taira | 74c | 1,018$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Taira | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Taira | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Taira | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Taira | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Park | 26c | 989.18$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.19 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Park | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Taira | 75c | 933.33$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Taira | 80c | 899.99$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Taira | 73c | 899.98$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Taira | 73c | 834.44$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.3 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Park | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Park | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Taira | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Park | 11c | 769.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Park | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3843…b77cbacked Park | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Park | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f86…2a6dbacked Park | 28c | 713.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…884ebacked Park | 28c | 691.48$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91de…bac4backed Park | 27c | 580.05$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Park | 26c | 571.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7d…dfdbbacked Park | 27c | 563.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…ce77backed Park | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Park | 26c | 530$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Taira | 74c | 523.61$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Park | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Taira | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Taira | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Taira | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Taira | 73c | 499.74$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Park | 26c | 464.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Park | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Taira | 79c | 400$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…f21bbacked Taira | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Park | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Taira | 73c | 399.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Park | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Park | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Park | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…fbddbacked Park | 27c | 369.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…a999backed Park | 27c | 349.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Park | 26c | 318.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Park | 26c | 311.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…fd49backed Park | 27c | 301.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Taira | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Park | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Park | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Park | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Taira | 73c | 299.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Taira | 75c | 298.04$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairathis page
- UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis Bashi won
- UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. RibovicsRibovics won
- UFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes Estevam won
- UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. PulyaevPulyaev won
- UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos SantosMagny won
- UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. FletcherNakamura won
- UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. SouzaRodriguez won
- UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. CornolleRosa won
- UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan Duncan won
- UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. VallejosVallejos won
- UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore Vieira won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.