TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ribovicsof Brener, Ribovics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$444,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$445,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…b3dfbacked Ribovics71c333,241$236,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,522.22250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Brener29c97,541$27,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,988.311936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Brener29c56,660$16,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,431.414857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Brener29c50,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,50019154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Brener30c40,890$12,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,110.157853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Brener29c35,570$10,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,415.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Brener7c18,004$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.3616745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Brener29c13,570$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.212541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brener29c10,900$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,16137152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Brener29c10,837$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.3142042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Ribovics71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9003959%23 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Brener29c9,000$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,61035253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df4…342cbacked Brener29c8,960$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.29650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Brener29c7,150$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.63327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Brener29c4,735$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.173961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Brener25c4,439$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.172924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Brener29c4,300$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2271637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Ribovics71c3,622$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.141758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Brener29c3,073$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.5220249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brener29c3,006$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.6633253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Brener29c2,931$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85031855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Brener29c2,600$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7542445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Ribovics73c2,450$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.413745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Brener8c2,385$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7818145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Brener14c2,116$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.373452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Ribovics71c2,100$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Brener27c2,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+75.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Brener1c1,999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.997233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Brener31c1,852$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.2235826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2876…c4b2backed Brener20c1,825$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.31838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Brener26c1,691$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3914929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Brener12c1,690$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.88248.8%40 W · 42 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Brener29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4356746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Brener14c1,450$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Brener24c1,447$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.0423537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Ribovics71c1,330$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Brener20c1,291$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.078826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Brener27c1,026$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.538544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Brener30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Brener30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Brener31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31051533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brener17c947.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8614530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Brener16c754.86$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.663933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Ribovics71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2329848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Brener29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Brener28c590.36$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.340%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Ribovics77c535.71$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.339959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15a…4e2abacked Brener29c517.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.99742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Brener31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7d…7e36backed Ribovics72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x239a…a0c6backed Brener18c490$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.74540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Ribovics68c468$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.534548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Brener29c446.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.468220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Brener28c441$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4913953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Ribovics71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5435664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Brener31c412.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1297745.5%35 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Brener29c390$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.856450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Ribovics70c346.86$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Ribovics70c334$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.22352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brener30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Brener12c314.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brener32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brener29c308.61$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Ribovics72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8424862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Brener29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Ribovics67c287.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.84161%25 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Brener4c280.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.456036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Brener31c250.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0210651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2388…377ebacked Brener22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Brener12c236.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4117850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Ribovics68c231.66$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.135867.2%39 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Brener33c223.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4812147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Brener30c223$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.136633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Ribovics68c217.64$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6412262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Brener6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e7…c7c7backed Brener15c196.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.471735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Ribovics68c194$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.082352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Ribovics71c185.15$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.693262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Brener29c180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.248749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Brener29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507737.7%29 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Brener30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Ribovics69c155.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.68256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384f…0874backed Ribovics69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Brener7c142$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…1cbabacked Ribovics71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Ribovics71c140.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5635539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Brener30c140.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.13756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Ribovics72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Ribovics68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4019544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x996b…7972backed Brener32c124.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406360.3%38 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Ribovics72c107.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Brener32c103.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3328333.2%94 W · 189 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Brener11c102.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.648535.3%30 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Brener25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Ribovics68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3228743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cd…a252backed Brener30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Brener29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Brener11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a07…05c1backed Brener11c97.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Brener28c83.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.