UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd346482c3d945b279da5169e1103c7271e6ecf2b68fcf11d5f266b44662824f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ribovicsof Brener, Ribovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Ribovics | 71c | 333,241$236,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,522.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Brener | 29c | 97,541$27,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,988.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brener | 29c | 56,660$16,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,431.4 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Brener | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Brener | 30c | 40,890$12,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,110.15 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Brener | 29c | 35,570$10,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,415.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Brener | 7c | 18,004$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.36 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Brener | 29c | 13,570$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.2 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brener | 29c | 10,900$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brener | 29c | 10,837$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.31 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Ribovics | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Brener | 29c | 9,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Brener | 29c | 8,960$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Brener | 29c | 7,150$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.6 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Brener | 29c | 4,735$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.17 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Brener | 25c | 4,439$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.17 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Brener | 29c | 4,300$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Ribovics | 71c | 3,622$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Brener | 29c | 3,073$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.52 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brener | 29c | 3,006$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.66 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Brener | 29c | 2,931$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Brener | 29c | 2,600$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Ribovics | 73c | 2,450$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.41 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Brener | 8c | 2,385$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.78 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Brener | 14c | 2,116$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Ribovics | 71c | 2,100$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Brener | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Brener | 1c | 1,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Brener | 31c | 1,852$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.22 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Brener | 20c | 1,825$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brener | 26c | 1,691$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.39 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Brener | 12c | 1,690$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brener | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Brener | 14c | 1,450$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Brener | 24c | 1,447$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.04 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Ribovics | 71c | 1,330$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Brener | 20c | 1,291$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.07 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Brener | 27c | 1,026$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.53 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Brener | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Brener | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Brener | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brener | 17c | 947.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Brener | 16c | 754.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Ribovics | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Brener | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Brener | 28c | 590.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ribovics | 77c | 535.71$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…4e2abacked Brener | 29c | 517.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Brener | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Ribovics | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Brener | 18c | 490$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Ribovics | 68c | 468$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Brener | 29c | 446.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Brener | 28c | 441$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Ribovics | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Brener | 31c | 412.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Brener | 29c | 390$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Ribovics | 70c | 346.86$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Ribovics | 70c | 334$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brener | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Brener | 12c | 314.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brener | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brener | 29c | 308.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ribovics | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Brener | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Ribovics | 67c | 287.27$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Brener | 4c | 280.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Brener | 31c | 250.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…377ebacked Brener | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Brener | 12c | 236.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Ribovics | 68c | 231.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Brener | 33c | 223.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Brener | 30c | 223$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Ribovics | 68c | 217.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Brener | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Brener | 15c | 196.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Ribovics | 68c | 194$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Ribovics | 71c | 185.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Brener | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Brener | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Brener | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Ribovics | 69c | 155.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed Ribovics | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Brener | 7c | 142$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…1cbabacked Ribovics | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ribovics | 71c | 140.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Brener | 30c | 140.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Ribovics | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ribovics | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…7972backed Brener | 32c | 124.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Ribovics | 72c | 107.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Brener | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Brener | 11c | 102.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Brener | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Ribovics | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…a252backed Brener | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Brener | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Brener | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed Brener | 11c | 97.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Brener | 28c | 83.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis Bashi won
- UFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes Estevam won
- UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. PulyaevPulyaev won
- UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos SantosMagny won
- UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. FletcherNakamura won
- UFC Fight Night: Park vs. TairaTaira won
- UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. SouzaRodriguez won
- UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. CornolleRosa won
- UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan Duncan won
- UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. VallejosVallejos won
- UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore Vieira won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.