UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d44f304405ecff3936d31ea7b32a2305df49d31f25f3d308c9b6a38f0d3654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bashiof Bashi, Yannis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Yannis | 12c | 28,041$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yannis | 10c | 10,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yannis | 12c | 5,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yannis | 16c | 3,261$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…4660backed Yannis | 11c | 2,300$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yannis | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yannis | 10c | 1,506$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Yannis | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Yannis | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yannis | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yannis | 3c | 970$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Yannis | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Yannis | 13c | 792.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yannis | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yannis | 16c | 617.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Yannis | 11c | 255$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yannis | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yannis | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yannis | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Yannis | 11c | 126.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yannis | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Yannis | 13c | 99.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Yannis | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis this page
- UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. RibovicsRibovics won
- UFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes Estevam won
- UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. PulyaevPulyaev won
- UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos SantosMagny won
- UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. FletcherNakamura won
- UFC Fight Night: Park vs. TairaTaira won
- UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. SouzaRodriguez won
- UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. CornolleRosa won
- UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan Duncan won
- UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. VallejosVallejos won
- UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore Vieira won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.