TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornolle

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rosaof Rosa, Cornolle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$378,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…b3dfbacked Rosa61c251,607$153,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,440.52250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cornolle40c100,000$39,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,60019544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Cornolle39c56,350$21,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,976.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cornolle38c37,000$14,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,16037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rosa60c36,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.9935253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Cornolle41c19,084$7,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,824.441435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cornolle37c18,104$6,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,705.5642042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cornolle39c16,373$6,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,401.361070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Cornolle39c15,803$6,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,162.591936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rosa60c13,343$7,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,358.8914857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Cornolle39c11,683$4,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,577.3320249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Cornolle20c10,000$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99729151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Cornolle37c8,942$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,274.847841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Cornolle41c7,832$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.3812541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Cornolle38c7,500$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85016745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cornolle39c7,494$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.4233253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Cornolle38c4,323$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.587853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Rosa59c3,600$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.978348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Rosa60c3,474$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Cornolle41c3,079$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.892445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cornolle6c2,441$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3810443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Cornolle41c2,417$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Cornolle39c2,282$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Cornolle41c2,252$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.852142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Cornolle40c2,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Rosa59c2,049$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.0320954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cornolle39c2,027$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.414929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Rosa61c1,962$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.056262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Cornolle42c1,905$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.423933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df4…342cbacked Rosa61c1,838$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e7…c7c7backed Cornolle22c1,700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.131735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cornolle39c1,255$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5113953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cornolle19c1,251$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1414530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Cornolle41c1,184$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.276142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Rosa61c1,100$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.510651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Cornolle19c1,093$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9318145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Cornolle26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Cornolle40c1,000$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.45435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rosa64c859.97$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.7953956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Cornolle40c850$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Rosa61c742.93$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.617850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Rosa61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.743655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Rosa59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24613041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Cornolle35c585$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.66746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Cornolle4c545$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.828043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4f…9437backed Cornolle39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rosa61c454.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4514144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Cornolle39c450.77$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.88220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Rosa65c450$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.532545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Cornolle40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Rosa67c402$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.982924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Cornolle29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11611540.9%47 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Cornolle9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Cornolle40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rosa61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1566829.4%20 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccbf…dce5backed Cornolle38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc15a…4e2abacked Cornolle42c370.88$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.77742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Rosa61c360$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.82055%11 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Cornolle41c358.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1151533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Rosa60c345$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Cornolle39c339.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Cornolle36c336.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Cornolle38c322.69$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9428743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Rosa62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5831855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Cornolle41c320.56$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4310040%40 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Rosa59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1238655.8%48 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Rosa58c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cornolle39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cornolle39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cornolle40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051a…98b9backed Cornolle41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc352…51e3backed Cornolle41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Cornolle32c237.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.18544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Cornolle17c203.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2752252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Rosa63c201.83$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.685867.2%39 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Cornolle39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Cornolle42c198.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.336031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Rosa80c180$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x384f…0874backed Rosa60c167.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.121662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Cornolle34c152.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked Cornolle39c129.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff56…ca81backed Cornolle39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3170…401fbacked Cornolle39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Cornolle42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Cornolle39c102.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+95.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Cornolle13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Rosa61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.367737.7%29 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61ec…2e8ebacked Cornolle40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d4…3da8backed Rosa60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Rosa61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2388…377ebacked Rosa61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Rosa57c80.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.817830.8%24 W · 54 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Cornolle37c75.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8735826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cornolle39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Cornolle37c67.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.911545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…f21bbacked Rosa61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.577651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71df…1a71backed Cornolle42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Cornolle38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Cornolle39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x20bc…f61bbacked Cornolle41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.