UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornolle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e4e388a6a50c079befec5e8b09537d00495a9260f312af40cb5a0649ac40fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rosaof Rosa, Cornolle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Rosa | 61c | 251,607$153,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,440.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cornolle | 40c | 100,000$39,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,600 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Cornolle | 39c | 56,350$21,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,976.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cornolle | 38c | 37,000$14,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,160 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rosa | 60c | 36,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.99 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cornolle | 41c | 19,084$7,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,824.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cornolle | 37c | 18,104$6,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,705.56 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cornolle | 39c | 16,373$6,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Cornolle | 39c | 15,803$6,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rosa | 60c | 13,343$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358.89 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Cornolle | 39c | 11,683$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.33 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Cornolle | 20c | 10,000$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Cornolle | 37c | 8,942$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.84 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cornolle | 41c | 7,832$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.38 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Cornolle | 38c | 7,500$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cornolle | 39c | 7,494$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.42 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cornolle | 38c | 4,323$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.58 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Rosa | 59c | 3,600$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.97 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Rosa | 60c | 3,474$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Cornolle | 41c | 3,079$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cornolle | 6c | 2,441$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Cornolle | 41c | 2,417$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Cornolle | 39c | 2,282$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Cornolle | 41c | 2,252$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Cornolle | 40c | 2,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Rosa | 59c | 2,049$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.03 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cornolle | 39c | 2,027$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.4 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Rosa | 61c | 1,962$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.05 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cornolle | 42c | 1,905$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.42 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Rosa | 61c | 1,838$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Cornolle | 22c | 1,700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cornolle | 39c | 1,255$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.51 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cornolle | 19c | 1,251$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.14 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Cornolle | 41c | 1,184$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.27 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Rosa | 61c | 1,100$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cornolle | 19c | 1,093$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.93 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Cornolle | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Cornolle | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.4 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rosa | 64c | 859.97$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.79 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cornolle | 40c | 850$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Rosa | 61c | 742.93$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.6 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Rosa | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Rosa | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cornolle | 35c | 585$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Cornolle | 4c | 545$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…9437backed Cornolle | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rosa | 61c | 454.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Cornolle | 39c | 450.77$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Rosa | 65c | 450$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Cornolle | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Rosa | 67c | 402$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Cornolle | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Cornolle | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cornolle | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rosa | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Cornolle | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…4e2abacked Cornolle | 42c | 370.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Rosa | 61c | 360$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Cornolle | 41c | 358.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.11 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Rosa | 60c | 345$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cornolle | 39c | 339.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Cornolle | 36c | 336.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Cornolle | 38c | 322.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Rosa | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Cornolle | 41c | 320.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Rosa | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Rosa | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cornolle | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cornolle | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cornolle | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Cornolle | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Cornolle | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Cornolle | 32c | 237.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Cornolle | 17c | 203.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Rosa | 63c | 201.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cornolle | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Cornolle | 42c | 198.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Rosa | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed Rosa | 60c | 167.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Cornolle | 34c | 152.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Cornolle | 39c | 129.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ca81backed Cornolle | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…401fbacked Cornolle | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Cornolle | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Cornolle | 39c | 102.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Cornolle | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Rosa | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…2e8ebacked Cornolle | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d4…3da8backed Rosa | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Rosa | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…377ebacked Rosa | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Rosa | 57c | 80.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cornolle | 37c | 75.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cornolle | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Cornolle | 37c | 67.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…f21bbacked Rosa | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…1a71backed Cornolle | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Cornolle | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Cornolle | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20bc…f61bbacked Cornolle | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornollethis page
- UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis Bashi won
- UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. RibovicsRibovics won
- UFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes Estevam won
- UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. PulyaevPulyaev won
- UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos SantosMagny won
- UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. FletcherNakamura won
- UFC Fight Night: Park vs. TairaTaira won
- UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. SouzaRodriguez won
- UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan Duncan won
- UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. VallejosVallejos won
- UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore Vieira won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.