UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d3bffef079a3511727fd5c63ed876df6bcbe942566b7c7f36602e1e4c27fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vallejosof Silva, Vallejos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $461,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Silva | 25c | 163,368$40,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,051.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Vallejos | 75c | 83,000$62,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,680 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Vallejos | 77c | 26,697$20,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030.96 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Silva | 23c | 22,292$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.17 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vallejos | 76c | 21,000$15,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Vallejos | 76c | 16,302$12,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.48 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vallejos | 74c | 12,201$9,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.72 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…db73backed Silva | 24c | 11,844$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Silva | 21c | 9,908$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.32 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Vallejos | 76c | 8,000$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vallejos | 75c | 6,000$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Silva | 27c | 5,399$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.71 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Vallejos | 77c | 5,257$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.08 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Vallejos | 77c | 4,932$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.47 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Vallejos | 77c | 4,877$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Silva | 23c | 4,785$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.09 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Vallejos | 77c | 4,480$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Vallejos | 77c | 4,130$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.89 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Vallejos | 75c | 3,703$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.04 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Silva | 14c | 3,464$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.92 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Vallejos | 77c | 3,000$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Silva | 22c | 2,987$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.65 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Vallejos | 77c | 2,611$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.53 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Vallejos | 77c | 2,559$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Vallejos | 76c | 2,488$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.43 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Silva | 21c | 2,250$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.5 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Silva | 23c | 2,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vallejos | 79c | 1,899$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Vallejos | 77c | 1,895$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.26 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Vallejos | 78c | 1,805$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.65 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…caeebacked Vallejos | 77c | 1,550$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Silva | 22c | 1,457$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.54 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Vallejos | 77c | 1,440$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Vallejos | 78c | 1,303$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.1 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Vallejos | 75c | 1,259$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.9 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Silva | 23c | 1,258$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Silva | 24c | 1,178$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Silva | 19c | 1,034$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Vallejos | 76c | 1,005$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.05 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Vallejos | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Silva | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Vallejos | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Vallejos | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Silva | 26c | 974$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.44 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Vallejos | 77c | 916.65$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Vallejos | 76c | 799.98$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Silva | 11c | 713$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…1a34backed Vallejos | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Vallejos | 77c | 698.87$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Vallejos | 77c | 628$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Vallejos | 79c | 627$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Vallejos | 77c | 609$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Silva | 20c | 600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Vallejos | 77c | 520.13$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Silva | 21c | 506.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Vallejos | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Silva | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Vallejos | 70c | 500$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Silva | 28c | 484.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Vallejos | 77c | 430$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Vallejos | 77c | 418.5$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Silva | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Silva | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Silva | 33c | 353.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Silva | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Silva | 21c | 332.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…9437backed Vallejos | 78c | 332.05$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Vallejos | 76c | 300$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Silva | 24c | 299.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Vallejos | 72c | 285.29$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Silva | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Vallejos | 79c | 233$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Vallejos | 77c | 228.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ca81backed Silva | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Silva | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…377ebacked Silva | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vallejos | 77c | 202.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Silva | 27c | 192$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Silva | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…49d2backed Silva | 24c | 147.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +110%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Vallejos | 77c | 133.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Silva | 16c | 133.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vallejos | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Vallejos | 77c | 132$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed Vallejos | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…4e2abacked Vallejos | 77c | 129.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Vallejos | 78c | 128.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…a252backed Silva | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Silva | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Silva | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Silva | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Silva | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…3761backed Vallejos | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Silva | 24c | 87.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Silva | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Silva | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…be42backed Silva | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Silva | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Vallejos | 76c | 77.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Silva | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejosthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Bashi vs. Yannis Bashi won
- UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. RibovicsRibovics won
- UFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes Estevam won
- UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. PulyaevPulyaev won
- UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos SantosMagny won
- UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. FletcherNakamura won
- UFC Fight Night: Park vs. TairaTaira won
- UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. SouzaRodriguez won
- UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. CornolleRosa won
- UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan Duncan won
- UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore Vieira won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.