NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabde0e7fd2623a102a6100bd6f27345d326b5cbb3771950fa969604f998fab17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 30c | 109,694$32,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,064.69 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Nuggets | 75c | 49,970$37,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,533.87 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 17c | 37,181$6,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,839.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nuggets | 72c | 31,537$22,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,560.27 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 23c | 24,526$5,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,003.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 54c | 22,457$12,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,334.8 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 71c | 15,953$11,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,271.19 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 16c | 13,517$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,418.15 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 64c | 10,380$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.91 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 16c | 10,028$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,449.66 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Wizards | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Wizards | 10c | 9,239$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,269.57 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Nuggets | 42c | 8,888$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 14c | 8,405$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,224.22 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Wizards | 15c | 7,341$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,260.42 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 25c | 7,111$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.21 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Nuggets | 78c | 6,798$5,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 77c | 5,401$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.46 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nuggets | 75c | 5,280$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.18 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Wizards | 15c | 4,434$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.27 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 4c | 4,434$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.05 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wizards | 16c | 3,838$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.74 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Wizards | 14c | 3,734$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.92 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 15c | 3,523$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.93 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 26c | 3,093$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.56 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 5c | 3,050$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nuggets | 67c | 3,015$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.31 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Nuggets | 72c | 2,961$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.84 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards | 17c | 2,118$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.29 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Nuggets | 57c | 2,067$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,992$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Wizards | 20c | 1,895$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.41 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Wizards | 11c | 1,888$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.61 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Wizards | 13c | 1,576$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.34 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards | 16c | 1,450$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Nuggets | 66c | 1,357$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards | 15c | 1,334$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.24 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 14c | 1,284$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.24 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Wizards | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,147$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.66 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Wizards | 15c | 1,063$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.37 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Wizards | 42c | 953.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.28 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 19c | 854.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.3 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards | 9c | 850$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 8c | 795$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.95 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Nuggets | 77c | 789.65$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.55 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Wizards | 31c | 775.84$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.47 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Wizards | 13c | 711.53$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.03 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Nuggets | 59c | 696.73$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.07 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…dd15backed Nuggets | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Wizards | 23c | 684.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.78 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 16c | 660.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.01 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Nuggets | 75c | 657.75$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Nuggets | 63c | 636.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4197…6b31backed Nuggets | 73c | 634.25$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 50c | 600$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Wizards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Wizards | 14c | 549.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 15c | 503.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.53 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Wizards | 8c | 502.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.46 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Wizards | 24c | 500$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Wizards | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Wizards | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Wizards | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e4…732fbacked Nuggets | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Wizards | 38c | 477.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Wizards | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Nuggets | 73c | 460$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards | 15c | 436.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.38 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Nuggets | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 17c | 404.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 44c | 404.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Wizards | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Nuggets | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Wizards | 43c | 397.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Wizards | 40c | 372.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Wizards | 24c | 354.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.93 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…fe48backed Wizards | 12c | 350$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…6290backed Wizards | 16c | 346.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.53 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…c018backed Wizards | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Wizards | 16c | 333$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Wizards | 25c | 327.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.77 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 14c | 320.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Wizards | 36c | 309.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Nuggets | 59c | 308.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Wizards | 44c | 301.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 10c | 300$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Wizards | 26c | 276.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.31 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wizards | 9c | 276$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.08 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Wizards | 26c | 272.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.95 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Wizards | 25c | 270$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Wizards | 42c | 269.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Wizards | 14c | 268.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.19 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards | 19c | 251.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Wizards | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.