Stocks · resolved market
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88fad6af135ca7cbd55a8bda5a1243125ded68b1e521066009cc990b13960b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $979,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $961,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 78c | 63,137$48,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,155.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…206abacked Yes | 23c | 57,021$13,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,053.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 73c | 36,448$26,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,954.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 80c | 26,327$20,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 44c | 22,574$10,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,014.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 2c | 19,284$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…5452backed Yes | 1c | 18,166$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…7d2ebacked Yes | 40c | 17,128$6,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,765.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 14c | 14,365$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.39 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 6c | 12,666$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddac…037fbacked Yes | 20c | 12,340$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 11,962$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked No | 74c | 11,784$8,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 29c | 10,473$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 10,100$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 17c | 9,408$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 74c | 9,352$6,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…ea15backed Yes | 9c | 9,279$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,951$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…d5c1backed Yes | 0c | 8,836$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 8,476$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.57 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 74c | 8,206$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 13c | 8,143$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 11c | 7,898$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 16c | 7,828$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +614.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 62c | 7,794$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked Yes | 13c | 7,740$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 21c | 7,505$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afb…7f1cbacked Yes | 11c | 7,244$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…a4dfbacked Yes | 7c | 7,157$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ea…c245backed Yes | 5c | 6,740$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 1c | 5,716$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…a0cdbacked No | 70c | 5,416$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 20c | 5,410$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 21c | 5,402$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 9c | 5,394$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 78c | 5,269$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…e696backed No | 69c | 5,252$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9308…e2f5backed Yes | 31c | 5,179$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 6c | 5,064$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 18c | 4,524$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…92aebacked Yes | 21c | 4,333$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 68c | 4,283$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…1cdfbacked Yes | 12c | 4,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…ed1abacked Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked Yes | 9c | 3,919$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1b…947ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,793$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 40c | 3,650$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 24c | 3,584$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 51c | 3,559$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 73c | 3,549$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 5c | 3,311$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67d…9cafbacked Yes | 27c | 3,288$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 58c | 3,015$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed No | 64c | 2,682$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,652$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 26c | 2,493$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…7d81backed Yes | 19c | 2,484$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 75c | 2,449$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,416$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 71c | 2,364$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 15c | 2,278$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…c75ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,269$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e26bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,237$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,222$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 19c | 2,218$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 48c | 2,200$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 14c | 2,195$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,185$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 2,132$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.65 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 23c | 2,113$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…24e5backed Yes | 19c | 2,095$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…13febacked Yes | 5c | 2,094$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 3c | 2,077$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 34c | 2,008$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.01 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…9c77backed Yes | 10c | 1,944$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…9612backed Yes | 19c | 1,892$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 74c | 1,858$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,834$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 18c | 1,700$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 37c | 1,672$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…43dcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 54c | 1,643$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,568$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…73debacked Yes | 14c | 1,565$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…b222backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…49edbacked Yes | 7c | 1,467$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 64c | 1,427$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…7ce4backed Yes | 56c | 1,409$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…e13cbacked No | 75c | 1,361$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 78c | 1,356$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…7d21backed Yes | 9c | 1,340$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 73c | 1,302$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 50c | 1,273$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 7c | 1,267$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,256$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 30c | 1,224$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.