UFC · resolved market
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c127523b96d82105dcee70b3cb74e932d51b4f05470959ab69f0a925ea73f42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodriguesof Kopylov, Rodrigues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Kopylov | 36c | 33,871$12,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,193.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kopylov | 37c | 29,636$10,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,919.04 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Rodrigues | 63c | 28,756$18,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,639.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rodrigues | 64c | 26,132$16,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,518.69 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Rodrigues | 68c | 26,125$17,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,319.71 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Kopylov | 35c | 25,000$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rodrigues | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kopylov | 37c | 15,163$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,635.12 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rodrigues | 60c | 13,503$8,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,339.09 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rodrigues | 63c | 11,649$7,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.79 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…d67abacked Rodrigues | 62c | 11,230$6,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…116ebacked Kopylov | 38c | 11,207$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Rodrigues | 63c | 10,882$6,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Kopylov | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Kopylov | 37c | 9,459$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Kopylov | 37c | 9,424$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rodrigues | 64c | 8,789$5,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kopylov | 37c | 7,939$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.11 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Rodrigues | 64c | 7,031$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rodrigues | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.96 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rodrigues | 63c | 6,867$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.96 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Kopylov | 44c | 6,845$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.56 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…62f0backed Kopylov | 37c | 6,757$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Rodrigues | 56c | 6,207$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.01 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Kopylov | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Rodrigues | 63c | 5,530$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.09 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kopylov | 37c | 5,500$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…66b9backed Kopylov | 37c | 5,500$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Rodrigues | 63c | 5,135$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.34 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Rodrigues | 63c | 4,365$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.08 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Rodrigues | 63c | 4,125$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…00c7backed Kopylov | 31c | 3,212$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Kopylov | 36c | 2,923$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Kopylov | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kopylov | 37c | 2,651$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.41 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Kopylov | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…a8b3backed Kopylov | 39c | 2,576$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…bf27backed Kopylov | 40c | 2,500$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Rodrigues | 63c | 2,450$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.1 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Rodrigues | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kopylov | 37c | 2,241$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.33 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kopylov | 36c | 2,048$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.11 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Kopylov | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kopylov | 37c | 1,960$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.29 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rodrigues | 62c | 1,831$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.93 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Kopylov | 40c | 1,762$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.48 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rodrigues | 72c | 1,755$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.5 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…f2d4backed Rodrigues | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Rodrigues | 62c | 1,700$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.99 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rodrigues | 64c | 1,630$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.8 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Rodrigues | 63c | 1,477$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.97 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Rodrigues | 63c | 1,363$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.45 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Kopylov | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Kopylov | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked Kopylov | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Kopylov | 37c | 1,340$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Kopylov | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Rodrigues | 65c | 1,313$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.51 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Rodrigues | 78c | 1,286$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Kopylov | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Rodrigues | 63c | 1,003$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.11 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rodrigues | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Kopylov | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Kopylov | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Rodrigues | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…805abacked Rodrigues | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rodrigues | 64c | 996.27$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.66 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kopylov | 9c | 972.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Rodrigues | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…2b11backed Kopylov | 38c | 923.68$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Rodrigues | 65c | 869.23$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rodrigues | 71c | 847.51$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rodrigues | 75c | 825.09$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…afb3backed Rodrigues | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…efb8backed Rodrigues | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Rodrigues | 64c | 765.63$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.63 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Rodrigues | 63c | 731.75$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.75 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kopylov | 34c | 718.82$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Rodrigues | 61c | 716.65$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…e7b8backed Kopylov | 38c | 712.74$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Kopylov | 40c | 691.64$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rodrigues | 62c | 658.99$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Kopylov | 37c | 648.65$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kopylov | 39c | 648.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Kopylov | 41c | 635.1$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rodrigues | 71c | 623.61$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.67 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…a28bbacked Kopylov | 23c | 621.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Kopylov | 37c | 585.78$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rodrigues | 63c | 580.69$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.86 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Kopylov | 35c | 566.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Kopylov | 38c | 562$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Kopylov | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed Kopylov | 23c | 537$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Rodrigues | 63c | 534.26$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Kopylov | 38c | 532.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kopylov | 12c | 529.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Kopylov | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…4ad6backed Kopylov | 37c | 518.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Rodrigues | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kopylov | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Gregory Rodrigues win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Roman Kopylov win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.