World Politics · resolved market
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19038a08727ccad7b3a17fee2d4e2edd1ab30f8fb193786752ee36f790e20b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $569,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,047 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 0c | 41,486$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 21,400$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.61 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 41c | 20,234$8,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,854.59 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 1c | 11,622$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 14c | 8,838$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.43 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…184bbacked No | 60c | 8,815$5,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,258.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 68c | 8,807$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.1 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 37c | 7,126$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.61 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 46c | 7,121$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.62 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed No | 51c | 6,715$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.91 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 36c | 6,416$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.01 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 65c | 6,261$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.82 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 70c | 5,253$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -5.6wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 56c | 4,337$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.7 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 42c | 3,927$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.05 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed Yes | 39c | 3,857$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…0d2abacked No | 13c | 3,788$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 44c | 3,754$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.22 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 52c | 3,726$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.53 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 64c | 3,642$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…a4e3backed No | 2c | 3,630$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…8ceabacked No | 2c | 3,478$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 12c | 3,442$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.87 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 27c | 3,187$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.61 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,145$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.46 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,915$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.51 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed No | 52c | 2,803$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 2,743$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…21a8backed Yes | 49c | 2,553$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed Yes | 39c | 2,533$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed Yes | 53c | 2,389$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.03 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed No | 59c | 2,335$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…432ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,305$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 33c | 2,121$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.43 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 8c | 2,102$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 48c | 2,000$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.92 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +665.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 41c | 1,870$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.03 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…4ecbbacked Yes | 41c | 1,853$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 39c | 1,840$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.63 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,817$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 56c | 1,814$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.56 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 32c | 1,800$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.78 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…2d40backed Yes | 77c | 1,794$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 1,649$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.72 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Yes | 31c | 1,624$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…3d55backed Yes | 58c | 1,606$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 62c | 1,585$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked No | 63c | 1,575$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 57c | 1,521$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.12 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…3464backed Yes | 64c | 1,517$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,512$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.46 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,508$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.54 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 74c | 1,440$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.04 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 29c | 1,437$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.76 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 57c | 1,377$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.05 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 25c | 1,375$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,368$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 28c | 1,355$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes | 52c | 1,347$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…cb85backed No | 8c | 1,337$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 8c | 1,310$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc359…fa9abacked Yes | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce3…c5d0backed Yes | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…d123backed No | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…0c84backed No | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…a295backed Yes | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…7d8fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,244$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 32c | 1,200$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 69c | 1,106$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.66 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…7e98backed No | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…e141backed Yes | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ab…437fbacked No | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 57c | 1,095$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 62c | 1,050$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.46 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…a55cbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…b810backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba7d…469cbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0331…7bf2backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45b…e94abacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3d…83f8backed Yes | 31c | 977.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed No | 5c | 977.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked No | 57c | 963.14$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 74c | 953.56$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 18c | 944.29$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 59c | 942.38$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.65 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 23c | 921.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.89 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d077backed No | 66c | 917.14$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 12c | 889$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 48c | 852.12$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…7f77backed No | 43c | 844.6$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 54c | 839.37$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.01 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…c2e6backed No | 39c | 807.45$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…a7cabacked Yes | 43c | 802.12$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…36afbacked Yes | 69c | 800$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 52c | 786.42$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.06 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.