TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins sale announced before July?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2623…9454backed No39c37,155$14,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,664.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+120.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3e…9913backed Yes61c37,155$22,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,664.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9e…f301backed Yes55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977f…a141backed Yes55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fc…5da8backed No45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ac…60b5backed No45c350$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes45c252.61$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.823132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…84b1backed Yes55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815c…8f7ebacked No45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0830…b32fbacked Yes55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd3…03dcbacked No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8671…3402backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…35e7backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d4…7a9ebacked No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b1…6fa0backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ccf…2e45backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2196…eb22backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…ee03backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…b4b8backed Yes56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e8…acefbacked Yes55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…c140backed No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee41…7e36backed Yes55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…4c02backed No44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed9…f7cebacked Yes55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9d…7f27backed No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a0…f609backed No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00e2…526fbacked No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cff…6706backed No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca4…5d9fbacked Yes55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0a7bbacked No45c178$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f7…329cbacked Yes55c178$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No8c173$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5763942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ed…3797backed No45c170$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb419…423cbacked No45c170$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a82…35aebacked Yes55c170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3998…de46backed Yes55c170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085c…6ce8backed Yes55c170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b69…7d2bbacked No45c170$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e65…ae80backed No45c165$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…2db0backed Yes55c165$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…872cbacked Yes55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d2…9696backed No45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…4bd8backed No45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0618…d686backed No45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e2…f654backed Yes54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…1232backed Yes55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde7…91e7backed No45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb7…a36ebacked No46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb8…e797backed Yes55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1142…cc36backed Yes55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52af…a0e2backed Yes55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7337…0722backed No45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x984a…15d5backed No45c145$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea49…0f69backed Yes55c145$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed No12c143.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+332.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5200…d5c5backed Yes56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…9aa7backed Yes55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…f314backed No44c140$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae7…c321backed Yes56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…fa58backed No45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9872…d66cbacked No44c140$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa94f…b4f7backed No45c130$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d6…0690backed Yes55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ac0…928abacked No45c130$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0764…fba2backed Yes55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d68…84d4backed Yes55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd509…2e9abacked No45c130$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a1…f367backed No45c130$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…7708backed Yes55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535f…ba05backed Yes55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb2…e6a1backed No45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b8…8ce7backed Yes55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No56c116.19$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe603…94b4backed Yes18c113.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No55c107.44$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8624250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x007f…3b53backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0479…f2ddbacked Yes59c94.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a0…edb6backed Yes60c91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10fd…ccd9backed No45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbf…2bdebacked No39c78.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…e6c9backed Yes61c65.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed No76c62.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes62c52.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked No26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d77…abd5backed No65c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes56c44.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22544%11 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes37c43.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+57.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes64c42.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.482937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x476a…2a22backed Yes52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4751…3485backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…ce9dbacked No40c41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b5…d9adbacked No47c40.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36c8…16adbacked No50c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes52c39.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.652010%2 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf839…6ae2backed No51c39.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2067…605dbacked Yes49c38.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…2464backed No53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…4bdfbacked No56c35.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes54c32.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3616248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2401…a33abacked Yes65c30.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.