Movies · resolved market
Will "The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd278ea27c70cef8249f39fc7de0d7493b2ae07af76445eac8880fa5be29fdb70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 42c | 1,143$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.54 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 58c | 512.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.11 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 35c | 441.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 34c | 317$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…4f0dbacked Yes | 33c | 300.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ecdebacked Yes | 36c | 281.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 42c | 272.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…1a98backed Yes | 31c | 271.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 28c | 241$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 20c | 225.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…8c7abacked Yes | 47c | 222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…7c75backed Yes | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…7350backed Yes | 48c | 215$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…8a6abacked Yes | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 199.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x609e…b5b4backed No | 53c | 199$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…d0afbacked No | 53c | 197$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0220…a994backed No | 53c | 191$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…566abacked Yes | 48c | 188$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc211…689bbacked No | 52c | 176$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…ee14backed Yes | 34c | 164$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88c…5c4ebacked No | 53c | 162.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…fd6dbacked No | 52c | 153$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…64b0backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b72…51f0backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…6b1dbacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…5aedbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…8fd8backed Yes | 34c | 146.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed9…5c75backed No | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 43c | 145$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7605…2f90backed Yes | 49c | 143.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…c3d6backed Yes | 36c | 140.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked No | 51c | 134.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 25c | 134.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 62c | 127.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…4631backed Yes | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…bfa3backed Yes | 48c | 125.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 57c | 124$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d9…3fd0backed No | 52c | 124$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce2…fd1dbacked No | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac82…396abacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…ff36backed No | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…e0c9backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…21cebacked No | 55c | 119.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…e028backed No | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 49c | 108.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…53bcbacked No | 55c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…3f26backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…71a0backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…4b9bbacked Yes | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc74…6456backed No | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 84.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…5af9backed No | 66c | 82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…e08dbacked No | 66c | 82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…5cf4backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…2e06backed Yes | 48c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb2…fc04backed No | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…a136backed No | 54c | 73.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…0becbacked No | 58c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…e903backed Yes | 42c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076a…0b21backed No | 55c | 72.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…67d9backed Yes | 49c | 71.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…e19dbacked Yes | 48c | 68.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…8456backed No | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac62…830bbacked Yes | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…400dbacked No | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…aae5backed Yes | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b16…2ec8backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 47c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…9c37backed No | 54c | 55.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…daf7backed No | 52c | 53.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…aa0dbacked Yes | 49c | 52.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…a2d6backed Yes | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 32c | 48.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…bc63backed Yes | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0f…b11abacked No | 53c | 47.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…afdebacked Yes | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…2b37backed Yes | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…0947backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1553…fd91backed Yes | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…07a7backed Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…8466backed No | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…5b12backed No | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "A Lien" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Anuja" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "I'm Not a Robot" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?Yes won
- Will "The Last Ranger" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.