Movies · resolved market
Will "Anuja" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa255d1f288224c1eefa5bbb75f7cee16462029e6eb2312083e9afc0f90097b9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee4c…ea13backed Yes | 11c | 1,010$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…d1d3backed Yes | 15c | 646.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 601$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 27c | 441.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bba…08a5backed Yes | 34c | 388.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…1a98backed Yes | 15c | 337.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 14c | 321.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…ef3bbacked Yes | 15c | 268.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ecdebacked Yes | 20c | 255$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…972dbacked Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 235$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 17c | 210.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…889dbacked No | 71c | 181$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…9891backed Yes | 29c | 176$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 23c | 165.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…e262backed No | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 73c | 133.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…53d6backed Yes | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…6ae2backed No | 72c | 112$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…c5c3backed Yes | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6440…c752backed No | 71c | 104$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…13a2backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 99.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 76c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…1156backed Yes | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…f9f2backed No | 72c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 78c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…2b12backed Yes | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…e582backed No | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 68c | 67.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 78c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…eadfbacked Yes | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256d…8824backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…6319backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…bc30backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…3e4ebacked No | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…8aa7backed No | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…62fabacked Yes | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…715ebacked No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afa…93b9backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…4a77backed No | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…f4c3backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…fcb9backed Yes | 77c | 27.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930f…d794backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 74c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd29…dfe3backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…ff48backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…ee0ebacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Anuja" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "A Lien" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "I'm Not a Robot" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?Yes won
- Will "The Last Ranger" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.