Movies · resolved market
Will "Conclave" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8079deb2909c81599e2bbf391f4b46b2b84f5cb9dca2aa35e2a0d4d3402b5a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 37c | 6,850$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 59c | 6,568$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.08 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 61c | 6,326$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.01 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540b…c40dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,368$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 68c | 3,356$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 42c | 2,788$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.42 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 33c | 2,738$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.48 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 59c | 2,084$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 38c | 1,814$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.86 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7d…d093backed Yes | 2c | 1,543$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 33c | 1,215$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 68c | 1,175$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 33c | 1,087$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.99 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 65c | 1,046$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.67 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca8…bfb2backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 59c | 980$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 63c | 915.75$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.8 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 45c | 865.53$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 44c | 679.96$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 46c | 669.41$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.16 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 46c | 613.02$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.07 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 599.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 60c | 596.44$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.34 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Yes | 67c | 518.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed No | 58c | 500$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.83 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 32c | 496$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.74 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 56c | 472.06$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.32 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 34c | 461.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 40c | 456.12$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 406.83$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 42c | 395.36$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 59c | 384$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.28 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 68c | 361.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 60c | 297.67$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 59c | 274$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed No | 45c | 243.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 53c | 225.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 66c | 221.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 60c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…9f0fbacked No | 56c | 177$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Yes | 56c | 176.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…71e6backed Yes | 61c | 174.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 62c | 166.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…fb89backed No | 57c | 163$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 40c | 156.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d91…54a3backed Yes | 44c | 155$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…4fbdbacked Yes | 67c | 149.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5d…47d0backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…4874backed No | 58c | 148.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 49c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 45c | 141.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ef…dd27backed No | 40c | 138.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…63cdbacked Yes | 45c | 135.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed Yes | 72c | 133.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…c8eebacked Yes | 43c | 133$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 46c | 130.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 40c | 127$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…bfa3backed No | 54c | 125.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…b3a9backed No | 36c | 124.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…c11fbacked Yes | 47c | 124.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…2ea9backed No | 40c | 108.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…91acbacked No | 41c | 106.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 104.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f73…3568backed No | 40c | 103.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…c186backed No | 35c | 102.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…64aebacked Yes | 62c | 101.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb9…1d29backed No | 40c | 100.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2378…35a4backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…1e32backed Yes | 62c | 98.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Yes | 69c | 98.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…2b51backed No | 41c | 97.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f4…5ed6backed Yes | 67c | 96.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…619dbacked Yes | 68c | 95.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 58c | 94.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…8fe6backed No | 40c | 94.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…6ab2backed No | 39c | 93.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…bf0abacked Yes | 63c | 93.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a47…5099backed No | 37c | 93.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 35c | 92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…dbdfbacked No | 41c | 89.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…4c28backed Yes | 62c | 89.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…1684backed No | 39c | 86.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…8e8ebacked No | 35c | 84.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…226bbacked No | 34c | 84.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc802…582dbacked No | 40c | 83.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…39a0backed No | 34c | 83.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…af88backed Yes | 47c | 83.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…48a8backed Yes | 61c | 83.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…ec7bbacked Yes | 48c | 81.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Conclave" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "Anora" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?Yes won
- Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "The Brutalist" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Wicked" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.