TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will "Anora" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$383,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$383,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20e8…b663backed Yes33c94,236$31,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,138.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x046c…1f1dbacked No67c94,236$63,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,138.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79de…324dbacked Yes32c84,251$26,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,290.68425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3db…ff3abacked No68c84,251$57,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,290.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes27c2,927$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.058840.9%36 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed No76c1,672$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.8318431%57 W · 127 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc83…19f3backed No1c1,618$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes32c1,563$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.9532639.3%128 W · 198 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes25c1,248$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.788836.4%32 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No67c1,111$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.443953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41dd…dc2cbacked Yes34c828$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d3…207abacked No66c778$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes29c746.34$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.398330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa9…aab1backed Yes32c475.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.19966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+67.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed No75c408.3$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.163240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…1a98backed Yes25c387.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.481921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes22c351$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.956937.7%26 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No76c323.7$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.652751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes23c315.52$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9510232.4%33 W · 69 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Yes27c314.81$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.811546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7617821.3%38 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2374650%23 W · 23 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+61.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes21c280$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.334651.2%177 W · 169 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes21c262.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.817416.2%12 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes26c254.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7914425.7%37 W · 107 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes16c254$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2710244.1%45 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes27c208$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8412539.2%49 W · 76 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0192…ba59backed Yes20c202$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1612744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No78c184$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.524734%16 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No70c177.3$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4750633.4%169 W · 337 L-30.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes33c171.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.071118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No71c157.37$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.949231.5%29 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c156.27$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc055…8b63backed Yes23c136$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f4…ef3bbacked Yes22c127.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.272010%2 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e6…3728backed Yes23c95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No78c85.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.859442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f0…79b5backed Yes20c85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6364…09a8backed No78c83.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55d7…9fe2backed Yes20c81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed No75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes21c77.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3287033.3%290 W · 580 L-77.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e1b…93c4backed No66c76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Yes23c75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.752437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes23c74.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3729926.4%79 W · 220 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347b…03fdbacked Yes20c72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+215.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5166…4db4backed Yes20c71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7c…fcb9backed Yes34c68.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes34c64.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.213426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3093…2dcebacked No66c63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes23c60.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.223828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224b…45ffbacked No77c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Yes27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No69c50.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5736538.1%139 W · 226 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed Yes23c48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.732352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc03…e6c7backed Yes34c47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+139.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef19…91e7backed Yes47c42.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.621428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No76c42.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2767232%215 W · 457 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes33c42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.147126.8%19 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5504…60b8backed No66c41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x793f…4ee5backed No63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.362560%15 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed No67c39.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.323571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c6…b313backed No77c39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb72…5c35backed No66c36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed No70c29.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.332142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6152…78bfbacked No80c26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa9…f816backed No80c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e8…99a1backed No80c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4e…4578backed No77c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e9…8599backed No77c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x422f…8ea1backed No77c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd788…1b2abacked No80c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02cc…3941backed No79c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc887…9992backed No80c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473b…ef56backed No80c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9d1…2bdbbacked No80c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa390…94b7backed No77c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d01…0581backed No80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8494…8646backed No66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5468…00b0backed No80c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…5de2backed No80c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cff…b135backed No77c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2726…12c3backed No73c17.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131275%9 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb44…bc4cbacked No80c17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09fc…4555backed No80c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29f0…7a60backed No80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe3…a995backed No77c13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa33…e699backed No77c13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.