Music · resolved market
Will Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7796df2461601b764328db2c53b22a163baf17e19edf25913f570da126300075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd124…e0babacked No | 45c | 136,000$61,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b674backed Yes | 55c | 136,000$74,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 23c | 7,576$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.76 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 7,289$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.58 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 78c | 4,595$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed No | 7c | 3,450$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 3c | 3,191$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 6c | 3,007$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 2,050$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.17 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…1e62backed No | 1c | 2,050$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…c60cbacked No | 29c | 1,855$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…0e5ebacked No | 2c | 1,729$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 70c | 1,379$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.35 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…3ef2backed No | 8c | 1,230$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…5345backed No | 2c | 1,164$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 66c | 1,151$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b27…c539backed No | 9c | 1,113$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…fb24backed No | 14c | 1,035$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…2738backed No | 2c | 932.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a3…5adabacked Yes | 80c | 895.29$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…048cbacked Yes | 79c | 826.81$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked No | 1c | 778.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…be63backed No | 3c | 777.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…90dabacked Yes | 66c | 767.04$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 4c | 744.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 23c | 714.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 43c | 620.91$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 543.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 73c | 536.46$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…ece3backed No | 20c | 533.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…5098backed Yes | 67c | 520.28$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…7d9bbacked No | 5c | 493.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…1a76backed No | 5c | 459.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 78c | 441.29$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…4affbacked Yes | 80c | 390.04$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…6d1ebacked No | 36c | 384.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…9590backed No | 5c | 352.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…85dfbacked No | 6c | 347.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7868…88e8backed No | 37c | 340.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…fab3backed Yes | 65c | 338.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 20c | 333.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…0950backed Yes | 74c | 313.13$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 16c | 298.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…db68backed No | 10c | 270.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…e9bcbacked No | 5c | 265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 41c | 250.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…12ecbacked No | 9c | 248.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b2…8c23backed No | 29c | 238.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 71c | 233$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…5ba4backed No | 28c | 215.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 26c | 211.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 15c | 206$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73a…e108backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 25c | 199.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…b089backed No | 18c | 184.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 67c | 175$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 63c | 169.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 26c | 164.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…b5aebacked No | 9c | 148.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…ef04backed No | 23c | 148.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 18c | 143.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…8519backed No | 30c | 142.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…785cbacked No | 8c | 142.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c27dbacked Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 27c | 138.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 17cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 65c | 115.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 115.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe41…f60dbacked No | 38c | 111.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 66c | 108.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 20c | 101.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…d203backed Yes | 75c | 95.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2641…3612backed Yes | 65c | 94.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 72c | 94.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 68c | 91.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…a2d7backed No | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yes | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Yes | 65c | 77.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 23c | 76.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 76c | 76.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbf…a4bbbacked Yes | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 74c | 69.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5e…4b04backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…663cbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 31c | 59.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 62c | 56.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7044backed Yes | 70c | 52.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f0…d786backed Yes | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…b78fbacked Yes | 60c | 45.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…474dbacked No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Yes | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae88…8f5bbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…c43cbacked Yes | 67c | 36.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…c493backed Yes | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…0415backed Yes | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.